Now that we’re three weeks into the season, we can start identifying patterns and more easily spot whose performance was a flash in the pan and who is here to stay. However, there are still so many unknowns for the 2024 season, and there are many different possible interpretations of the data. Let’s take a look at some players to buy low and who we should be selling high on in fantasy football trades.
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Fantasy Football Week 4 Buy Trade Targets
Jayden Reed (WR, GB)
Jayden Reed appears to be the Packers’ WR1, leading the team with a 32-percent target share and two carries in Week 3. He has also seen five rush attempts through three games and recorded at least 19 rushing yards in each week this season. Jordan Love is due back this week, giving this entire Packers offense a boost. Reed was the highest-scoring wide receiver in Week 1, his lone game with Love. Reed’s nearly 84 percent of slot snaps secures his role in this crowded offense.
Bucky Irving (RB, TB)
Bucky Irving has looked impressive on the ground through his first three career games. Among running backs with 20+ carries, Irving ranks top three in yards per carry, yards after contact per attempt, and Pro Football Focus’ elusive score. He’s been far more efficient than Rachaad White on the ground, averaging 6.2 yards per carry to White’s 2.1 yards per carry. White is also banged up, playing through a groin injury.
Bucs head coach Todd Bowles said, “Bucky has definitely earned more reps,” when asked about the snap difference between Irving and White. Expect Bucky to continue to eat into White’s ground work as well as some pass-catching work. He’s seen three targets in two of his first three games, a pleasant surprise alongside a great pass-catching back in Rachaad White.
Brian Thomas Jr. (WR, JAX)
The Jaguars’ offense has been abysmal through three weeks. They’ve scored 17, 13, and 10 points, but Brian Thomas Jr. has still been okay. He’s led the Jaguars’ wide receivers in fantasy points in two of their three games this season, scoring double-digit fantasy points in both of those games. He saw just four targets in each of his first two games but finally saw a volume bump in Week 3 with nine targets, good for a 24% target share. This offense needs change, and getting the ball in the hands of their best offensive player seems like a no-brainer. We know rookie wide receivers typically expand their roles as the season goes on; if that’s the case with Thomas, then fantasy success should follow. He’s already off to a solid start, and his future looks to be on the upward trajectory.
Quick-Hitter Buy Targets
- Jordan Addison (WR, MIN) should return from injury in Week 4 to a Vikings offense that is on fire and lacking a clear number two target in the passing game.
- Brock Bowers (TE, LV) is the only tight end to finish in the top five in two of the first three weeks of the season. He’s getting a lot of hype but is still targeting as a potential top-three tight end rest of season.
- Mike Evans (WR, TB) got the Patrick Surtain treatment in Week 3. Surtain has looked like the best cornerback in football in 2024, locking down DK Metcalf, George Pickens, and now Evans. That’s now two poor weeks in a row for Evans, who looked sharp in Week 1. This offense overall looks great, and Evans is likely still the best wide receiver in Tampa.
Fantasy Football Week 4 Sell Trade Targets
Jauan Jennings (WR, SF)
This is not a panic sell, but rather an opportunity to capitalize on a career day from Jauan Jennings. Just last week, he was likely sitting on your waiver wire. Now he’s the WR2 in all of fantasy and the talk of the town. It’s important to see the bigger picture and realize that Jennings is going to be a temporary fling. He dominated with Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, and Christian McCaffrey out.
While at least two of those guys will likely be out again this week, this is still going to be an extremely crowded offense when they eventually return. Not to mention Brandon Aiyuk, who will likely assert himself as the true number-one wide receiver on this team in the coming weeks as he shakes the lack-of-training-camp rust off. Jennings is a solid flex play with upside while Deebo Samuel is sidelined, but if you can turn him into a permanent piece for your fantasy team, you should.
Chuba Hubbard (RB, CAR)
Chuba Hubbard is a solid player who benefitted greatly from Andy Dalton‘s return. His 27.9 fantasy points will likely be his season high, as they came in an easy matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders, who are allowing the fourth most rushing yards on the season. Additionally, Jonathon Brooks is eligible to return in Week 5. The rookie will likely take a large chunk of the work within the first few weeks of his return. Chuba is a serviceable back, but he’s not the future of this running back room. Once again, if you can get a permanent piece from this temporary production, I’d look to cash in.
D.J. Moore (WR, CHI)
The Chicago Bears’ offense has been disappointing, to say the least. The offensive line has struggled mightily and Caleb Williams has felt the pressure. D.J. Moore has been peppered with targets, but his production hasn’t matched his volume. Moore racked up eight catches for 78 yards in Week 3 against a weak Colts defense. Doesn’t sound too bad, right? What if I told you that 44 of those yards were on one tipped Hail Mary pass?
It’s easy to take away big plays and say, “Look at this guy now!” But this feels like an appropriate time to do just that, as a tipped Hail Mary pass isn’t prescriptive. Without that big play, Moore would’ve had seven catches for just 34 yards. He’s sitting at just 8.8 yards per reception, which falls to just 6.8 if we take away the miracle play. Rome Odunze is the downfield guy in this offense despite it being such a strong spot for Moore historically. Moore is falling victim to the Shane Waldron average depth of target nightmare that was Jaxon Smith-Njigba‘s reality in 2023.
Quick Hitter Sell Trade Targets
It’s usually not a good idea to sell your guys after a down week as their fantasy value is down, but it may be time to cut ties with these guys who still have name value to sell on.
- Patrick Mahomes (QB, KC) is arguably the best quarterback in the NFL, but certainly not for fantasy football. He’s simply not asked to do all that much with the Chiefs’ great defense. If you can cash in on his name value, you can probably replicate his fantasy value off the waiver wire.
- Rachaad White (RB, TB) is one of the most inefficient backs on the ground, something he struggled with in 2023 as well. The only difference is that the Bucs now have a guy with juice behind him in Bucky Irving. It doesn’t help that White is also dealing with a nagging groin injury. If you can sell before this becomes a full-blown committee, you’ll probably be thanking yourself in a few weeks.
It’s easy to get frustrated with your players and trade on emotion rather than logic, but take a breath and ensure you’re getting proper value in return if you decide to make a trade. Have fun and go get your guys!
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