What is the Dalton Kincaid fantasy outlook for 2024? What about Mark Andrews? When given the choice between Kincaid and Andrews, which player is the best choice in fantasy football drafts?
Dalton Kincaid – Matt Babich
The key to league-winning fantasy assets is a wealthy opportunity share in a high-octane offense. That’s exactly the situation Dalton Kincaid finds himself in entering the 2024 season. An early college breakout with elite athleticism, the expectations were high for Kincaid as a rookie. Despite being brought along slowly, he finished top 10 in targets, receptions, and receiving yards. The big hole in his production was finishing the endzone. Kincaid scored just twice all season and struggled to carve out a large role in the red zone.
On the surface, Kincaid’s rookie efficiency metrics were disappointing. However, the rookie was a completely different player. After returning from a concussion in Week 7, Kincaid generated 1.8 Yards per Route Run and 1.6 Yards per Team Pass Attempt. These results would have ranked No. 8 and No. 5 among tight ends on the season, respectively. This was all done while Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis were soaking up 45-percent of the team’s targets.
Kincaid’s Metrics
Many of Kincaid’s peripheral metrics were outstanding. He and Josh Allen quickly developed a connection, with Allen providing him the No. 4-best Target Quality Rating, the No. 5-best Catchable Target Rate, and the best Target Accuracy. Being deployed both heavily and in the slot, his versatility and connection with Allen is a lethal combination. They’re a big-play waiting to happen. Now, Allen will be looking the tight end’s way much more often.
In the absence of Diggs and Davis, the targets have to funnel somewhere. Team’s rarely take massive swings in run/pass ratio from season to season. Therefore, expect Buffalo to be a high-volume passing offense once again. Kincaid has a realistic shot of leading his position in targets and dominating red zone work for a high-scoring offense. He has the opportunity and talent of a top-5 tight end and wields leading-scorer upside. Kincaid is a rocket-ship who, outside of the top-50 players drafted, will be a value when we look back in January. As a result, the Dalton Kincaid fantasy outlook is very promising at his current ADP.
Mark Andrews – Kelly Singh
The tight end position is becoming more and more revered by other fantasy managers besides me! A top tier tight end can send your fantasy team to the next level. Mark Andrews has proven himself to be an elite tight end year after year. However, an injury in Week 11, had him sitting out for the rest of the season. Andrews did come back for the AFC Championship game. Don’t let this injury keep you from drafting him. Sleeper prorated Andrews’s yardage based on his performance prior to the injury and came up with at least 925 yards (No. 5 among TEs).
QB Favorite
It’s clear that Andrews is a favorite of Ravens quarterback, Lamar Jackson. The two have a trust and a working chemistry that’s hard to find elsewhere. The argument every year seems to be that there aren’t any shortages on targets in Balitmore. That’s not stopped Andrews from receiving targets. Despite only playing 10 games last season, he still had the No. 3 most targets among Ravens receivers and scored six touchdowns, No. 2 among all league tight ends. He led the team in targets in 2022, 2021, and 2019. In 2020, he was second to Marquise Brown. The receiving room has always been crowded, and Andrews still comes out on top year after year.
PlayerProfiler has Andrews ranked as the TE4. Other sites have him as high as TE3. His average draft position is averaging 48.8 (5.01). Your individual draft strategy, and whether or not your league is tight end premium, will play a big role in where you decide to draft Mark Andrews. Knowing that he’s a top target should be what weighs the most heavily. I’m personally not buying into any hype of what might be this season for far lower-ranked tight ends. Opportunity and talent are great things to think about, but I’ll stick to the facts.
