Each week, fantasy players question which of their players to insert into lineups and which to bench for that week. A key component in that process is highlighting easy or difficult matchups for players. While an easy matchup does not guarantee a player to have a great performance, it’s certainly a better bet. In this weekly piece, I shine the spotlight on a few different matchups to keep an eye out for as you make your lineup decisions. This is the Matchup Monitor Week 11!
Positive Matchups
The first group or player listed in each matchup here has an advantage and potential for greater upside against their opponent.
Devin Singletary vs Cleveland Browns
With Josh Allen nursing an elbow injury, Devin Singletary saw 14 touches and scored two touchdowns last week. Singletary is still the lead back in Buffalo despite Nyheim Hines‘ arrival. He was seeing a 70.4-percent (No. 9) Snap Share prior to Week 10 with ample rushing and receiving usage.
The Browns have allowed 15 rushing touchdowns in nine games this season. This is just under two rushing touchdowns per game. Cleveland has also allowed at least 100 yards rushing in five of its last seven games. The Bills often play with a positive Game Script, and with the Browns hardly close to the Bills’ tier of skill, expect that to be the case again. Fire up Singletary as Buffalo’s lead back in a game where a running Game Script is expected against a team allowing plenty of rushing scores.
Greg Dulcich vs Las Vegas Raiders
Rookie Greg Dulcich has seen heavy usage since debuting. He has 21 targets in four games, finishing as a top-12 TE in three weeks. Despite a flop last week, Dulcich is also the beneficiary of a banged-up receiving corps in Denver. K.J. Hamler and Jerry Jeudy are nursing injuries, so look for Dulcich to continue to be utilized.
The Raiders entered Week 10 allowing the No. 5-most TE fantasy points this season. In Week 10, Colts TE Kylen Granson grabbed four receptions for 57 yards against Las Vegas. The Raiders’ defense continues to struggle as they’ve allowed at least 24 points in all but one game this season. With Dulcich suddenly a top-three receiving option in Denver, you can feel confident in starting him against a struggling team this week.
Incredible usage was there again for Greg Dulcich yesterday.
* 71-of-80 snaps
* 40 inline, 25 slot, 6 wide
* 40 routes on 49 Russ Wilson dropbacks
* Just 4 targets for a 9.5% share
* 1-11-0 result— Adam Levitan (@adamlevitan) November 14, 2022
Daniel Jones vs Detroit Lions
The Giants have greatly exceeded last season’s win total, and Daniel Jones has been one of the players at the helm for that. Jones is a dual-threat QB and enters Week 10 with an 8.2 (No. 3) Accuracy Rating and 363 (No. 4) rushing yards. He’s been a serviceable fantasy asset. Jones has dipped below 13 fantasy points just once this season.
The Lions entered Week 10 allowing the No. 4-most QB rushing fantasy points. Justin Fields just ran all over them for 147 yards while three other QBs have passed 40 rushing yards against them. Allowing less than 24 points in a game just once this season, Detroit is a porous defense through the air and on the ground. Expect Daniel Jones to feast as a dual threat this week.
Negative Matchups
The first group or player listed in each matchup here has a disadvantage and a greater potential for a lesser fantasy output than usual against their opponent.
Tyler Higbee at New Orleans Saints
With Cooper Kupp hurt, it may be tempting to lean on Tyler Higbee. Higbee saw eight targets last week but saw a combined nine targets in three games before that. He entered Week 10 with a shallow 3.6 (No. 32) average target distance with just 1 (No. 30) deep target.
While Higbee could see an uptick in targets this week, he faces a Saints defense that has been effective against TEs. New Orleans has not allowed more than 50 yards to an opposing TE group since Week 5. Isaiah Likely is the only TE to score a touchdown against Demario Davis and company this season. Exercise caution with Higbee this week; he’s a better play post-Week 11.
Derek Carr at Denver Broncos
The Raiders have gone through a nightmare of a season, and they sit at 2-7. Derek Carr entered Week 10 averaging 0.42 (No. 23) Fantasy Points Per Dropback. Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow are out, and Josh Jacobs has been humming as a focal point of the offense. It’s safe to say that the Raiders’ pass game, outside of Davante Adams, is not fruitful.
The Broncos allowed the least QB fantasy points per game entering Week 10. Denver’s offense has not been good this season, but its defense has kept the team in games as they’ve allowed over 20 points just once this season. Bradley Chubb is gone, but Patrick Surtain and company have been headaches for opposing offenses. Avoid Carr in a struggling offense against a good defense.
The #Broncos this season:
– Points scored: 131. Worst in the NFL.
– Points allowed: 149. Best in the NFL.The Broncos have allowed under 20 points in 8 games and only have 3 wins to show for it.
Crazy in this day and age of the NFL. pic.twitter.com/UyWXV3PF99
— Ari Meirov (@MySportsUpdate) November 15, 2022
Devonta Smith at Indianapolis Colts
Despite a rocky season, the Colts’ secondary has been solid against opponents. Indianapolis has allowed just five touchdowns to WRs this season. Starting CBs Stephon Gilmore and Isaiah Rodgers both rank in the top-50 of PlayerProfiler’s Cornerback Rankings They will give Philadelphia a tough time out wide.
As second fiddle to A.J. Brown, Devonta Smith has three touchdowns this season. He had a big game on Monday night, but do not expect him to usurp Brown who was quiet that game. Smith has finished inside the top-20 WRs just twice this season, seeing over five targets in five games. He faces a solid secondary in what looks to project as a positive Game Script for Philly where they’ll be running the ball more. Temper expectations for Smith this week.