Buy Low or Sell High in Fantasy Football? – Week 11

by Nathan Hartunian · NFL

Is Kyler Murray a Buy Low or Sell High in fantasy football? In this article we identify a player from each position group that is either a buy low or a sell high candidate.

QUARTERBACKS

BUY LOW: Kyler Murray | Arizona Cardinals

The Arizona QB made his return last week after tearing his ACL in New England last season. The Cardinals were very patient and cautious to ensure that Murray had healed completely before he was to come back, and this proved to be the right move. In his first game back, he led the Cardinals to their second win of the season, throwing for 249 yards and rushing for 32 yards and a touchdown for a respectable 18.3 fantasy points.

Murray proved that his injury would not be a factor as he showcased his elite rushing abilities the same way he did in 2022 and years before, regardless of his supporting cast. Murray was the QB7 in terms of scoring last season, and you should expect similar totals from the Cardinal’s dual-threat QB once he gets back up to full speed. If you are quarterback-needy, take your chance and buy Murray low.

Other Notable Buy Low QBs: Sam Howell, Brock Purdy, Baker Mayfield, Lamar Jackson

SELL HIGH: Dak Prescott | Cowboys

This may shock some fantasy owners, but Prescott should not be valued as high as he is. In the last four games, Prescott has played at an elite level, averaging 339 yards, throwing 12 touchdowns and just two interceptions. However, there is a catch. In those games, the Cowboys have faced four of the bottom 12 defenses versus quarterbacks this year — the Chargers, Rams, Eagles, and Giants.

The Cowboys play the Panthers next week, including Buffalo, Miami, and Detroit in the fantasy playoffs. Expect Prescott to look more like his early season stretch, soon, where he only threw for five touchdowns and four interceptions. Sell Prescott high for a viable QB option — Sam Howell or Kyler Murray, and pair that player with a back-end FLEX guy with upside. Or, if there is a team that needs a quarterback in general, trade Prescott straight up for a solid RB2 or WR2.

Other Notable Sell High QBs: Josh Allen, Russell Wilson

RUNNING BACKS

BUY LOW: Najee Harris | Steelers

Most managers looked away from Harris after his terrible start to the 2023 campaign, but Harris has picked up his slack as of late, working his way up to the No. 29 rank on PlayerProfiler. Many Harris owners are also scared that Tomlin just named Jaylen Warren the official starting RB in Pittsburgh, but this was more of a ceremonial nod than it was a shift in play time. The two running backs have split carries for most of the year, and this shouldn’t change. In his four games after the Bye week, Harris has averaged 74 yards per game for 15.1 fantasy points per game and has been targeted 16 times. This is nearly double the amount he had in the first five games (9).

Harris has also had eight Red Zone Carries in the last two games, which is more than he’s had the rest of the season. Harris is always a threat to breakaway and make a big-time run. This season, Harris has had seven Breakaway Runs, which is good for No. 3 in the entire league. Harris plays as a back end RB2 and is especially solid in deeper leagues. Playoff contenders should also note that there are clear skies ahead as the Steelers face three run-friendly teams — the Colts, Bengals, and Seahawks — in the fantasy playoffs (Weeks 15-17).

Other Notable Buy Low RBs: Tony Pollard, Aaron Jones, Derrick Henry, Jerome Ford

SELL HIGH: David Montgomery | Lions

Prior to his rib cartilage injury in Week 6, Montgomery was the guy in Detroit. Since his injury, Jahmyr Gibbs has stepped up. In Montgomery’s return last week, he ran for 116 yards and a touchdown. However, without his miracle 75-yard touchdown run, Montgomery’s outing would have been terrible.

Jahmyr Gibbs Advanced Stats & Metrics Profile

Gibbs had 14 carries while Montgomery had a season-low 12 carries. He also had a masterclass showing, running for 112 yards and two touchdowns and 23.2 fantasy points. You can expect him to be the lead back going forward, and you should expect Montgomery, who was once a back end RB1, to dip to the value of an average flex play.

Other Notable Sell High RBs: Rhamondre Stevenson, James Cook, Saquon Barkley

WIDE RECEIVERS

BUY LOW: Jordan Addison | Vikings

Minnesota’s first round draft pick has had a great rookie season, taking advantage of Justin Jefferson’s injury, averaging 17.3 points per game in his six games as WR1 (including the one Jefferson left). Many owners are going to turn the page on him with Jefferson’s return, but Addison was also good in spite of Jefferson, seeing at least five targets in three out of the four games he played with Jefferson, and scoring 16.1, 16.2, and 11.2 in those three games.

Besides his goose egg in Week 4, when he only had one target, Addison has been decent even with Jefferson around. Go take advantage and steal Addison for a cheap price. He will be a solid flex play for the rest of the season.

Other Notable Buy Low WRs: Courtland Sutton, Romeo Doubs, Diontae Johnson

SELL HIGH: Amari Cooper | Browns

Cooper has put together an excellent season, playing as a solid WR2. He is averaging 13.8 points per game for a top-25 campaign in terms of fantasy points per game. Unfortunately, we expect his value to drop greatly, as Browns quarterback Deshaun Watson suffered a season-ending shoulder injury last week against the Packers. With backup quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson back at the helm for Cleveland, we should expect the entire passing game to take a large hit.

We should also consider that this will elevate the rushing game even further for Jerome Ford and Kareem Hunt. Regardless, I do not believe Thompson-Robinson, who has never thrown an NFL touchdown and has three interceptions in his career, will be able to play well enough to help Cooper remain in all fantasy lineups. Cooper will drop from a solid WR2 to a back-end flex play.

Other Notable Sell High WRs: Tank Dell, Devonta Smith, Mike Evans

TIGHT ENDS

BUY LOW: Trey McBride | Cardinals

This one’s easy. With the absence of NFL veteran Zach Ertz, McBride has boomed in two out of three games, catching 10 out of 14 targets for 95 yards and a touchdown in Week 8 and catching eight out of nine targets for 131 yards last week.

His only rough game was when Clayton Tune, an inexperienced rookie, was playing quarterback for Arizona. Murray clearly liked McBride, and we can expect McBride to haul in six to eight passes per game as long as Murray remains healthy. Ertz is aging and will likely not be able to win the starting job back on a 2-8 Cardinals team as long as McBride continues to make plays.

Other Notable Buy Low TEs: Logan Thomas, Luke Musgrave, Evan Engram

SELL HIGH: Dalton Schultz | Texans

Schultz appears to be approaching TE1 status, but there are still much better and more consistent options out there. The Texans are red hot right now, but if Houston breaks cold, expect Schultz to do the same. Schultz has also only brought in 37 of his 56 targets this season, and he is extremely touchdown-dependent. There are certainly better options at the moment.

Other Notable Sell High TEs: George Kittle, Dalton Kincaid, Jake Ferguson

Take all of these ideas into consideration — they just might be league winning moves.

Best of luck in your Week 11!