This weekly series covers several cost-efficient wide receivers who provide massive upside for GPP tournament lineups. These are typically wideouts with high volatility in a pass-heavy environment in a game projected to produce a lot of points. We’ll use advanced stats and metrics from the PlayerProfiler Data Analysis Tool to identify each player.
Will Fuller, Houston Texans
Will Fuller gave us what we wanted in Week 1 with a high-volume role that resulted in 112 yards on eight receptions and 10 targets. Week 2, on the other hand, was a disaster. His chronic hamstring issues rose to the surface and he laid a goose egg, but the injury was minor and he showed up again in Week 3, finding the end zone and leading the team in targets.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-N0tAmYh4ZU
With the hamstring injury behind him, we can again be excited about Fuller in this offense just in time for the schedule to open up. Week 4 brings an extremely favorable matchup with a Vikings secondary that has surrendered an average of 299.3 passing yards per game through three weeks. Fuller is already top-10 in Target Separation and should have no trouble eating up the Vikings. He can absolutely score his first long touchdown of the season in this one and post a massive fantasy performance.
Note: Fuller popped up on Thursday’s injury report. If he is out or limited, pivot to Brandin Cooks.
DeVante Parker, Miami Dolphins
Similar to Will Fuller, DeVante Parker battled a hamstring injury of his own in the first two weeks but is now at full health. Parker’s 17 targets ranks No. 40 among qualified receivers. He’s logged 14 (No. 24) catches for 169 (No. 30) receiving yards and one (No. 22) touchdown through three games with a 100.0-percent (No. 1) True Catch Rate.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oSjWsQubseY
Parker has a mouth-watering matchup with the Seahawks, who have become the first team in NFL history to allow 1,200 passing yards in three games. With the Seattle offense playing as well as it has, Game Script should call for heavy pass volume on the Miami side. Parker is only $5,700 on Draftkings in a week where he can feasibly finish as a top-five wideout.
Andy Isabella, Arizona Cardinals
Andy Isabella was an incredible prospect in the 2019 NFL Draft despite coming from a small school. He posted a 52.2-percent (97th-percentile) College Dominator Rating at The University of Massachusetts, averaging 16.6 (75th-percentile) yards per reception while commanding a 36.7-percent (97th-percentile) Target Share in his final season. He wowed scouts at the NFL Combine with his 4.31 (100th-percentile) speed, while displaying above average burst and agility.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n75H6Sxx_yk
We’re now starting to see it slowly come together for Isabella. He put up 67 receiving yards in Week 2 before recording 47 yards and two touchdowns while catching all four of his targets in a Week 3 loss to the Lions. Isabella has stepped up nicely in the absence of Christian Kirk, who has been out with a groin injury. The dam will break eventually, and Isabella will see the field at a higher rate and truly realize his full potential. It may happen in Week 4 when the Cardinals face a Panthers defense that has proven to be exploitable in the first three weeks, and he’s priced at just $4,500 on Draftkings.
Tee Higgins, Cincinnati Bengals
Tee Higgins led the Bengals with 43 routes run last week. He participated on 83-percent of Joe Burrow’s dropbacks while Tyler Boyd and A.J. Green were both at 80-percent. After that, there was a huge drop-off down to Auden Tate at 24-percent. Higgins has seen his Snap Share increase every week and is now a starter in this offense.
Check out Tee Higgins on PlayerProfiler’s Updated Weekly Rankings and Projections:
Higgins was a productive prospect coming out of Clemson with an 18.6 (96th-percentile) Breakout Age as a freshman. The No. 33 pick in the 2020 NFL Draft caught five of his nine targets for 40 yards and two touchdowns during Sunday’s 23-23 tie against the Eagles, with three of those targets coming in the red zone. He draws a Jaguars defense in Week 4 that allowed Ryan Fitzpatrick to set a Dolphins franchise record, completing 90-percent of his Week 3 pass attempts. It might feel like chasing points, but the peripherals say he’s here to stay. At $4,500 on Draftkings, this future alpha is a nice Week 4 value play.
