Fantasy Football Sleepers | 4 QBs Being Drafted Too Low in the FFPC

by Aditya Fuldeore · Best Ball Plays & Strategy

As we enter re-draft and Best Ball season, draft boards and player ADP start to take shape. Every year, there are a few players that go under the radar with paths to smash their ADPs. In this piece, I discuss a few fantasy football sleepers at quarterback. These players are being drafted too low in drafts. Fantasy gamers should look to target on platforms like the Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC).

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C.J. Stroud & Bryce Young

As the top-two overall picks in this year’s draft, Bryce Young and C.J. Stroud fall under the same umbrella as fantasy football sleepers. While many dynasty players are looking to pick them up for the future, both have value in seasonal leagues as rookies. Coming out of college, Young had an 85.7 (91st-percentile) College QBR and Stroud had an 89.7 (96th-percentile) College QBR. They didn’t do much rushing in college, so we are yet to see the extent of their rushing abilities. Stroud is bigger than Young, while Young has superior awareness as a passer. Both are excellent passers who seldom run but are mobile in the pocket.

Bryce Young Advanced Stats & Metrics Profile

Carolina has given Young a couple of veterans in Adam Thielen and DJ Chark, along with rookie Jonathan Mingo. The Panthers have made it clear they want to build on Young’s passing immediately. Expect a lot of passing volume for him as Carolina will trail often. Meanwhile in Houston, Stroud will be throwing to a receiving corps led by Nico Collins, Nathaniel Dell (Tank), and Dalton Schultz. The receivers are not the same level as who Stroud was throwing to at Ohio State. However, Dell was drafted apparently at Stroud’s request, and Collins is a big-bodied receiver perfect for a security blanket for the rookie. Houston will also struggle and trail often, leading to more pass attempts for Stroud.

In FFPC leagues (single QB), the drafters are currently selecting Young around pick 310, while Stroud is going around pick 330. Their rookie status is baked into their ADPs, with guys like Sam Howell and Desmond Ridder going near them. Both have better passing upside than Howell and Ridder, with superior draft capital. Most QBs in that range have the potential of being replaced, should they not perform up to expectations. As rookie first-rounders, this is unlikely to happen for Stroud and Young. They are less raw than fellow rookie Anthony Richardson, who is going several rounds earlier than them. Take a chance on the rookies going very late in drafts.

Mac Jones

Entering year three, Mac Jones has been an okay, not great, quarterback for the Patriots. He has shown flashes of being a consistent starter for them, and without Matt Patricia calling plays this season, he has a chance at improvement. As a rookie, Jones was good under pressure. He had a 58.2-percent (No. 2) Pressured Completion Percentage and 6.6 (No. 4) Under Pressure Accuracy Rating. Last season, he took a step back in that category and threw the ball deep more, with 69 (No. 6) Deep Ball Attempts. Jones finished with a 64.7-percent (No. 8) Deep Ball Catchable Pass Rate. Ultimately, he is the kind of QB that generates numbers, albeit in a boring way, and was plagued with subpar offensive play-calling last season.

Entering the 2023 season, Jones gets JuJu Smith-Schuster next to DeVante Parker in the receiving corps. Smith-Schuster will help Jones in the short-yardage game, while Parker and Tyquan Thornton will be more of the deep threats. New offensive coordinator Bill O’Brien is touted as a top offensive mind who will help Jones take another leap in his game. With stats that are historically middle-of-the-pack, Jones offers a stable floor at the QB position, having room to improve. He is currently going around pick 350 in FFPC drafts, at the end of the range of current NFL starting QBs. He offers the best job stability and one of the highest floors of the low-end starters, making Jones a good target late in drafts over guys like Sam Darnold and Will Levis.

Russell Wilson

Putting Russell Wilson on the list of fantasy football sleepers seems weird. However, you can currently get him at the “bad last year” discount. If you drafted Wilson last year, there is probably still a bad taste in your mouth from his 15.8 (No. 18) Fantasy Points Per Game, when he was drafted to finish much better than that. Fret not, there is reason for his bounce back, at a cheaper price than last season. Wilson struggled under Nathaniel Hackett but had three top-5 finishes in his last four games. He had as many touchdown passes (eight) in those last four games as he did the whole rest of the season. Wilson doesn’t run the ball like he did in his prime, but his legs are still useful. He finished with 277 (No. 11) rushing yards and three (No. 9) rushing touchdowns last season.

Denver now has Sean Payton at the helm. After an offseason of working with Wilson and the Broncos, Payton’s offense is set to improve upon Hackett’s. Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy will open up the offense with rookie Marvin Mims, and Javonte Williams is rehabbing well. The offense has no shortage of weapons. Wilson was a top-6 QB from 2019-2020 but missed a few games and struggled since then. While he won’t be back to his prime, expect him to break his 170 ADP in FFPC.

💵 Sign up at the FFPC ➔Click Here! and get $25 OFF your first team with promo code: UNDERWORLD.