The key to advancing teams in the FFPC Never-Too-Early Best Ball Tournaments is to take advantage of mispriced assets, loading the bargains onto your team while sidestepping the landmines. Today we’ll look at some strong bargains with which you can load onto your teams. The ADPs listed here are for the main tournament, but these players are also very good bargains in the SuperFlex version if taken near ADP. Don’t be afraid to reach slightly to add these bargain players as most of them still have plenty of room to run upwards in the ADP ranks. These are 10 Ridiculous Bargains in FFPC Best Ball Tournament play.
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Jayden Daniels (QB19, ADP131)
Typically going in the 11th or 12th rounds of drafts, Jayden Daniels might be the biggest cheat code in these early tournaments. He runs often and effectively. Additionally, he throws the ball at least well enough to not be a one-dimensional player. He just played a season that’s likely to put both Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. into the first round of the NFL Draft.
Widely expected to get drafted as a top-3 selection, there’s almost no chance he isn’t starting immediately. We’ve seen what dual-threat QBs like Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson, Justin Fields, Kyler Murray, and Anthony Richardson can do right out of the box. It’s hard to imagine Jayden Daniels isn’t immediately at least a top-10 QB on a per-game basis.
D’Andre Swift (RB26, ADP87)
Recency bias is our friend with Swift. He only finished as an RB1 once in his last ten games. Additionally, in 2023 he logged an average score of just 12.5 PPR fantasy points. This marks the lowest per-game output of his career. Even so, he finished at RB19 overall and has never finished worse than RB21 in his career. This is despite sharing a large chunk of the RB load until last year. Even last year he was in a shared backfield of sorts with Jalen Hurts scoring 15 TDs on the ground and Kenneth Gainwell stealing 37 targets.
In his new Chicago home, he’ll be working with (presumably) Caleb Williams. Williams is much less of a threat to Swift’s high-value touches than Jalen Hurts. While Swift will undoubtedly cede targets to Roschon Johnson, Swift was paid a lot of money after Chicago had a full year’s look at Roschon. Swift has finished as at least an RB2 in 60-percent of his career games. He’s also had numerous spike games of 20+ points. At his current ADP, that’s a huge value.
Zamir White (RB29, ADP95)
Going half a round later than Swift, the case for Zamir White involves a lot of projection. However, the potential range of outcomes looks juicy. Josh Jacobs left town. White gave us a taste of what that could look like during the final four games of 2023 when Jacobs was injured and didn’t play. White scored between 13.1 and 17.5 points during that stretch on an offense helmed by Aidan O’Connell. The recent Alexander Mattison signing is a blessing in disguise. This is because we always knew the Raiders would be adding to the RB room anyway. Every touch by Mattison is a gift to the opposing defense.
It’s still likely the Raiders will further add to their RB depth chart with a rookie. However, with plenty of holes to fill elsewhere on the depth chart, any RB pick is likely to be late in the draft. Zamir probably isn’t a high-ceiling RB. But he should put in a solid floor which can come in handy if you’re building a Zero RB team.
Chase Brown (RB33, ADP104) and Zach Moss (RB35, ADP107)
Each of the contestants in the Bengals backfield have multiple paths to value at current ADPs. Chase Brown really flashed last year and has enough size (209 lbs) and speed (4.33 40) to prove it was no fluke. Meanwhile Zack Moss made it very tough on the Colts to let Jonathan Taylor resume the lead role once he signed his new deal. Moss historically does quite well when given a significant amount of carries. He clocked in at RB4 overall from weeks 2-6 when the Colts fed him the ball.
The Bengals are likely to deploy them in a Thunder (Moss) and Lightning (Brown) timeshare. This should return adequate value even if that’s the situation all year. Of course, if one of them falters in any way, the other could easily become a league winner in the high-powered Bengals offense. They are cheap enough that you might also be able to stack-cuff them occasionally in the 9th and 10th rounds without compromising the overall upside of your roster.
Chuba Hubbard (RB40, ADP 121)
Commonly available in the 11th and 12th rounds of drafts, we have the opportunity to take the lead RB on a Panthers team that has nowhere to go but up. Hubbard slowly but surely seized control of the backfield from Miles Sanders last year. He finished as the RB27 overall. That should be his absolute floor for 2024. Therefore, we’re already getting a bargain. The ceiling may be higher though as Hubbard was RB15 from weeks 8-18 and now he has Dave Canales running the offense.
Rachaad White received 70 targets under Canales last year, and Hubbard (only 44 targets last year) has already demonstrated plus receiving chops. Additionally, the offensive line should be much improved up the middle, helping pave the way to better rushing success. While the Panthers could add an RB in the draft, we should expect the team to focus primarily on defense and adding weapons in the passing game. Hubbard is another great pick for Zero RB builds.
Diontae Johnson (WR43, ADP 90)
We’re going to stay right here in Carolina for this next one. I know, I know, Carolina sucks. But that was then, this is now. Let’s skate to where the puck is moving. This offense is almost certain to improve for the reasons noted above. Diontae Johnson will be instrumental to how the offense functions. Last year, ancient Adam Thielen totaled a ridiculous 137 targets because there were no other competent receivers. Johnson averaged 9.5 per game targets from 2020-2022 and produced 18 games of 17+ points, or 37.5% of his total games played. Provided Bryce Young is a better QB than Kenny Pickett, we should see a nice resurgence from Johnson.
Mike Williams (WR53, ADP 134)
Stop rolling your eyes and hear me out. Seriously. Once again, recency bias is our friend when it comes to Mike Williams ADP. Now that he’s a Jet, I expect it to jump somewhat. However, I’ll be surprised if he’s not a value from now until September. Coming off a Week 3 ACL tear last year, Williams should be healthy by Week 1. Somehow though, he’s developed a reputation as injury-prone even though he only missed seven games during the previous five years.
He does seem to take up permanent residence on the injury report. However, the fact is he’s been remarkably durable when it comes time to suit up for games. Just don’t watch his games. This is because about every third catch, he’ll hit the turf so hard, it looks like his soul left his body. He’s ideal for best ball though because he’s been a real feast/famine player, topping 20 points in a remarkable 34-percent of the time in the games he’s played since the start of the 2021 season. This is barely less than Ja’Marr Chase who’s done it 35.5-percent of the time during that same period. Buy Big Mike. I’m begging you.
Curtis Samuel (WR66, ADP 164)
In some ways it’s a little unnerving to take the newest member of a team when he’ll be fighting for snap against two other players who fill very similar roles but hang with me here. For one, Samuel is the cheapest option between him, Khalil Shakir (ADP 126), and Dalton Kincaid (ADP 44). Also, it’s been a minute, but Samuel played 70-75-percent of his snaps out wide with Carolina back in 2018-2019.
This versatility is probably what Buffalo had in mind when signing him and should help keep him on the field for more snaps. Samuel has a history of putting up frequent spike weeks of 15+ points which is ideal for a player taken at the back end of our rosters. He’ll definitely be playing with the best QB of his career. This is also a nice bonus. There aren’t many dart throws in rounds 13+ with this much potential.
Darnell Mooney (WR75, ADP 199)
Mooney had one of the hottest starts to his career for a fifth-round pick. He notched 98 targets in his rookie season then leveled up to 140 targets the following season. However, disaster struck in week 12 of his third season (2022) when he suffered a sprained ankle/broken leg which ended his season and clearly dogged him for much of the following year. Now, another year removed from that injury, Mooney gets a gigantic boost in QB play and surrounding talent in his new Atlanta home.
His days of 140 targets are long gone, but in the 16th-17th round where he now resides in drafts, he’s a real value. More than just a slot receiver, Mooney ran most of his routes from the outside in his 140-target season. Additionally, it looks like he’ll be filling the Jordan Addison role with Kirk Cousins as the Z receiver with some slot work thrown in. With defenses focused on Bijan, London, and Pitts, Mooney is likely to be running free often, and Cousins will find him. You’ll be hard pressed to find another WR with the combination of talent, past production, and situation this late in drafts.
Noah Fant (TE26, ADP 173)
Things have been tough for Noah Fant since he was traded to Seattle. Drafted 20th overall by Denver, Fant’s career was ramping up nicely despite shaky QB play in the Mile High City. He earned 93 and 90 targets as the primary receiving TE. The trade derailed all that as the TE position was a brutal 3-headed monster of Fant, Will Dissly and Colby Parkinson. Fant struggled for targets and became nearly useless for fantasy in 2023. But in 2024, Fant is the last man standing in the Seattle TE room.
As an added bonus the OC in charge of that mess, Shane Waldron, is also gone. Ryan Grubb, fresh from the University of Washington, is the new OC. It’s hard to say how Fant will do in these new circumstances, but it could hardly get worse. I’ll take a chance on an athletic freak with much less competition for targets in 2024. In his Denver years, Fant was spiking numerous 20+ point weeks, so we know the ceiling is high if he can get some targets back.
For more from Dan Williamson, check out his Dynasty State of the Union – AFC North: Dynasty Value for AFC North Players | State of the Union (playerprofiler.com)
