The High Value Touch DFS Index is here to help you find the best plays for the dollar in DFS. This is done by looking at leaders in Carries Inside The 10-Yard Line Per Game and Targets Inside The 10-Yard Line Per Game and comparing their prices on DraftKings and FanDuel to create a rating. We weigh targets higher than carries and take it a step further to weigh it higher on DraftKings (PPR scoring) vs. FanDuel (Half PPR scoring). We look at these touches close to the end zone because touchdowns lead to fantasy points, and fantasy points lead to cashing our lineups in DFS!
This is a wild week, where we see some familiar faces and also some blasts from the past in this High Value Touch DFS Index for the Main Slate this Sunday, along with a few players that just missed the cut.
Top 5 Values:
5) Aaron Jones/A.J. Dillon/Josh Jacobs
High Value Touch Index – DraftKings: 23.47 (No. 5 overall)
High Value Touch Index – FanDuel: 18.48 (No. 6 overall)
Carries Inside The 10-Yard Line: 1.3 per game
Targets Inside The 10-Yard Line: 0.5 per game
Red Zone Snap Share: 68.55 percent
A.J. Dillion Advanced Stats & Metrics Profile
This is the spot that’s the most interesting on the index. Aaron Jones comes in at No. 5. He is No. 20 among running backs in carries inside the 10-yard line, however, he is tied for No. 2 in targets inside the 10-yard line per game. Jones is out though. If he were healthy, we would be both cash and GPP viable.
A.J. Dillon will step into the lead back role and if we believe he will carry the same workload (if not more) than Jones did, then he is cash and GPP viable and one of the best values on the slate.
If you do not buy into Dillion, then Josh Jacobs is who would be next on the list. Jacobs ranks No. 17 in both carries inside the 10-yard line and targets inside the 10-yard line. Out of players on the slate, he is in the Top 11 in both of these metrics. If playing five or more lineups, I would consider him for tournaments, but I would not roster in cash games.
4) Darrel Williams: $5,400 on DraftKings, $6,300 on FanDuel
High Value Touch Index – DraftKings: 27.88 (No. 4 overall)
High Value Touch Index – FanDuel: 21.37 (No. 3 overall)
Carries Inside The 10-Yard Line: 1.5 per game
Targets Inside The 10-Yard Line: 0.4 per game
Red Zone Snap Share: 52.14 percent
Darrel Williams, coming off a ceiling game last week against Las Vegas, comes in at No. 4 on the index. He is No. 14 in carries inside the 10-yard line per game and tied for No.7 in targets inside the 10-yard line per game. There is some uncertainty around him because Clyde Edwards-Helaire might be coming back off of injured reserve this week. Until we have clarity there, I am avoiding Williams. If Williams is active and Edwards-Helaire is not, he is someone I would consider in GPPs if setting 10 or more lineups.
3) Adrian Peterson: $4,800 on DraftKings, $5,700 on FanDuel
High Value Touch Index – DraftKings: 28.65 (No. 3 overall)
High Value Touch Index – FanDuel: 20.61 (No. 4 overall)
Carries Inside The 10-Yard Line: 1.0 per game
Targets Inside The 10-Yard Line: 0.38 per game
Red Zone Snap Share: 56.96 percent
Adrian Peterson 2021 Productivity Metrics
Adrian Peterson is a blast from the past and boosted with a small sample size here! His 0.5 targets inside the 10-yard line is No. 2 among running backs, but it is just one target in two games! Because a target is more valuable than a carry, and his price is cheap, he finds himself here at No. 3. Considering he is averaging just 6.3 DraftKings points per game and 5.8 FanDuel points per game, he is one of those running backs to keep in your player pool for playing a large number of tournament lineups, such as 20-150.
2) Jordan Howard: $4,800 on DraftKings, $5,900 on FanDuel
High Value Touch Index – DraftKings: 32.22 (No. 1 overall)
High Value Touch Index – FanDuel: 26.21 (No. 2 overall)
Carries Inside The 10-Yard Line: 2.67 per game
Targets Inside The 10-Yard Line: 0 per game
Red Zone Snap Share: 45.83 percent
Jordan Howard is the beneficiary of a small sample size! Since coming onto the scene, he has eight carries inside the 10-yard line in three games so far. His 2.67 carries inside the 10-yard line is No. 1 among running backs and he is one of the less expensive running backs on the slate. His usage reminds me of Zack Moss; if he scores a touchdown or two he can make value in a cash game, but if he does not his floor is very low. I would only use him for MME situations if needing a punt play.
1) Zack Moss: $5,000 on DraftKings, $5,800 on FanDuel
High Value Touch Index – DraftKings: 32.22 (No. 1 overall)
High Value Touch Index – FanDuel: 25.38 (No. 2 overall)
Carries Inside The 10-Yard Line: 1.75 per game
Targets Inside The 10-Yard Line: 0.375 per game
Red Zone Snap Share: 69.37 percent
Zack Moss 2021 Game Logs
Zack Moss is No. 1 for the fourth straight week. He has gone from 1.43 carries inside the 10-yard line per game to 1.75 carries inside the 10-yard line per game and went from 0.29 targets inside the 10-yard line per game to 0.375 targets inside the 10-yard line per game, and his price decreased! Despite getting the opportunities, Moss has shown a floor of nearly zero and a ceiling that is more in line with a $7,000 cash-game running back. Moss should only be in your player pool in MME situations.
Just Missed The Cut
DraftKings: Ezekiel Elliott (20.89), Myles Gaskin (20.32), Jonathan Taylor (19.39)
FanDuel: Jonathan Taylor (17.83), Ezekiel Elliott (16.84), Dalvin Cook (16.77)
Final Thoughts
The index showcases low-dollar running backs that are getting high-value touches inside the 10-yard line. Unfortunately for most of these players, they do not have enough of a floor to rely on cash but are tournament viable depending on the size of the contest and how many lineups one plays. A.J. Dillon is a cash game play this week and one of the better values on the slate overall.
