Must Starts and Sits | Fantasy Football Week 11

by Matt Babich · Matchups Start/Sit
Week 11 Fantasy Football Start Sit

It’s time for Start Sit Week 11 in Fantasy Football! Which players should you be starting this week, and which players should you consider benching? We will cover it all in this weekly article!

Every week of the NFL season, fantasy gamers juggle players to insert into lineups at each position. Are you questioning which players face easy matchups and which players face tougher paths to production? You are in the right place! For seasonal leagues, DFS, and more, this week’s must-start and must-sit picks can give you some guidance on setting your lineups.

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Quarterback Start Sit Week 11

Start: Russell Wilson

In my debut Bold Predictions article, I called Russell Wilson outscoring Jayden Daniels. This week, after 19+ fantasy points in two of his three starts, Wilson becomes a must-start. Wilson has been cooking as a Steeler, racking up at least two touchdown passes and at least three total touchdowns in two of his three starts. At just 28 pass attempts per game, Wilson has been winning on pure efficiency. He’s generated 8.7 adjusted yards per attempt thus far, in part because his supporting cast has allowed him to push the ball downfield. Moreover, the Steelers run game is the perfect foundation for their play-action pass game.

The Steelers line up against the Ravens this weekend, who are allowing the fourth-highest yards per pass attempt, the second-highest percentage of touchdowns coming from passes, and the second-highest fantasy points to quarterbacks. Right now, they are the picture-perfect quarterback matchup, and Wilson is leading a red-hot passing offense. Ride the wave.

Honorable Mentions (Starts): Drake Maye, Jared Goff, Bo Nix

Sit: Caleb Williams

The firing of Shane Waldron may add a boost to this Bears offense, but right now, it is very hard to trust Chicago’s rookie signal caller in fantasy football. Williams has finished under 10 fantasy points in three straight games and under 12 fantasy points in six of nine matchups this season. He faces off against Green Bay for the first time as a Bear this week, and the Packers’ defense allows the 14th-fewest pass attempts per game, has the fourth-highest QB hurry rate, and gives up the 11th-fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. It’s not the worst matchup on paper, but given the pass-rush talent, it certainly isn’t ideal.

We know Caleb has both the talent and supporting cast to succeed in fantasy, but this game is partly about trust. When we have guys like Drake Maye and Bo Nix in prime spots this weekend, you likely don’t need to force Caleb into your lineup until we see more signs of life from this offense.

Honorable Mentions (Sits): Kirk Cousins, Jameis Winston, Patrick Mahomes

Running Back Start Sit Week 11

Start: Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb finally gets a salivating matchup. For the first time this season, Chubb lines up against a run-funnel defense. The Saints are allowing the 15th-most rushing attempts per game and the second-most yards per rush attempt this season. They’re also allowing backs to find the end zone in bunches, ceding 1.4 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing rushers. Starting backs have had fantastic fantasy outings in seven of the last eight matchups against the Saints, and Chubb is in a perfect spot to make it eight of nine.

Since his return from injury, Chubb is averaging 16 opportunities per game despite mostly negative game scripts, earning 10 total red zone carries across his three active games. He should be in line for 15+ carries and two to three targets in this matchup, with a couple of drives that give him a chance at finding the end zone. I think we see an 18+ point outing as a return-to-glory moment for Chubb this week.

Honorable Mentions (Starts): Rhamondre Stevenson, Alexander Mattison

Sit: Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne popped off with a couple of explosive plays last week in his second week back in action, but it was still a bad fantasy day with just 4.8 Half-PPR points. The good sign was that Etienne got back to about a 70-percent snap share and took hold of most of the opportunities. The bad is that Mac Jones is still the team’s starter in a very bad matchup. The Lions cede the third-fewest rushing attempts per game and the fourth-fewest fantasy points per game to running backs. They also have a fierce defense that gets after the quarterback, creates turnovers, and prevents red zone drives from turning into touchdowns.

I’ve been in the camp of Etienne turning things around at some point this year, and we saw flashes of that coming to fruition last week. However, we certainly didn’t see enough to put him in our starting lineups against the Lions with Jones captaining the offense. Keep Etienne out of your lineup for now.

Honorable Mentions (Sits): Audric Estimé, Raheem Mostert, Alexander Mattison

Wide Receiver Start Sit Week 11

Start: Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers is the new Tyler Lockett: perennially undervalued, and incredibly talented. He’s generated 13+ fantasy points in four of the last five games, drawing at least seven targets in all five games. He currently owns just over 20-percent of the Raiders’ passing opportunity and over 30-percent of the team’s red zone targets. When you pair that with a high target quality and catch rate, it almost doesn’t matter what the offense looks like. That player will be scoring fantasy points. Meyers continues to be discounted because of his team’s performance, with no recognition for his own performance.

He lines up this week against a Dolphins defense that is allowing the eighth-highest completion percentage over the last three games and struggles to put pressure on the quarterback. They’ve also been pretty leaky to slot receivers as of late, allowing at least five receptions for 60 yards to a receiver running at least a 30-percent slot rate in four of the last five games.

Honorable Mentions (Starts): Khalil Shakir, Josh Downs, Courtland Sutton

Sit: Brian Thomas Jr.

This is similar to my take on Travis Etienne, as it’s too tough to play Jaguars with Mac Jones leading the charge. Last week, Thomas only saw three targets and generated just 12 yards against the defense allowing the third-most PPR points per game to opposing wide receivers. This week, the Jaguars face the defense allowing the second-most PPR points per game to opposing wide receivers, and the matchup does not move me. Thomas is a big playmaker who could prove me wrong on one play, but I firmly believe betting against Mac Jones is a winning bet in the long run.

Receiver is a pretty deep position this year, with low-cost guys like Josh Downs and Khalil Shakir rising through the ranks. Thus, there is tons of upside (and floor!) all around the league with pass catchers. There are too many other options for me to get behind starting Thomas until Trevor Lawrence comes back.

Honorable Mentions (Sits): Rome Odunze, Romeo Doubs, Amari Cooper

Tight End Start Sit Week 11

Tight ends are perhaps the most disgusting they’ve ever been for fantasy football. If you have one of these guys, you’re probably looking to just start them every week and hope for the best:

If not, consider these options:

Start: Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry is essentially the Patriots’ No. 1 receiver. With roughly a 20-percent share of the team’s targets and air yards, the volume he’s been receiving has actually been desirable for fantasy purposes. The issue is the lack of consistency. However, he has a phenomenal matchup this week against the Rams. LA’s defense is among the league leaders in yards per reception given up to opposing tight ends. They have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends without facing many marquee tight ends. That is a screaming signal of a bad defense versus the position.

Drake Maye has been pretty trigger-happy since becoming the Patriots’ starter, and he has certainly been better at getting drives down to the red zone. Outside of the auto-starts, Henry is one of my favorite plays this week. This being said, Mark Andrews does become my start-of-the-week should Isaiah Likely miss time again.

Honorable Mentions (Starts): Mark Andrews (Automatic start if Likely is inactive), Jonnu Smith, T.J. Hockenson

Sit: Jake Ferguson

This is another case of a backup quarterback ruining a great fantasy asset. Jake Ferguson looked very bad under Cooper Rush, putting up just 24 yards on five targets against the Eagles. Tight end is an extremely volatile position where any number of names could be good looks every week. This is evidenced by guys like Hunter Henry, Jonnu Smith, and Mike Gesicki popping up in the start report multiple times. Name value means less at this position than any other, so there’s no reason to force Ferguson in your lineup in a bad matchup with a terrible quarterback.

Honorable Mentions (Sits): Zach Ertz, Tucker Kraft, Mike Gesicki

Set Your Lineups!

It is time to set lineups! Fire up those fingers and plug in your productive players (and bench the sits!). Check back for weekly must-starts and must-sits based on the action that unfolds this season. Need some more options? Check out PlayerProfiler’s Upside Finder, or DM me on Twitter! It’s time again for a season full of ups and downs. Buckle up!

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