This is Week 8 WR-CB Matchups! Last week was trending towards our biggest week to date with WR-CB Matchups. Drake London was locked down by Arthur Smith’s playcalling Chidobe Awuzie. And Terry McLaurin was held to six first-half yards before scoring a touchdown in the second half. Meanwhile, Donovan Peoples-Jones barely missed the top-30 with 11.1 fantasy points. Let’s dive into Week 8 to find our FADES and PLAYS at the wide receiver position.
Let’s recap what I’m looking to accomplish in this series:
- Firstly, I’m targeting players who are STARTING in over 50-percent of Sleeper Leagues to FADE. I believe that these WRs will finish outside the top-30 wide receivers for the week.
- Secondly, I’m targeting players ROSTERED in less than 50-percent of Sleeper Leagues to PLAY. These are your desperate WR2 and/or FLEX plays. I believe these wide receivers will finish inside the top-30 WRs for the week.
- Finally, the players I recommend playing I would play OVER players I recommend fading.
FADE – Amari Cooper (CB Matchup: Chidobe Awuzie – No. 15)
Amari Cooper has faced two top-10 cornerbacks this season, and he’s finished under 5.0 fantasy points in both games this season. Chidobe Awuzie is swiftly approaching the top-10 in the cornerback rankings. Awuzie has a +30.8 (No. 4) Coverage Rating and a 41.5-percent (No. 4) Catch Rate Allowed.
Cooper is No. 52 in Contested Catch Rate, No. 75 in True Catch Rate, and No. 60 in Target Separation. That’s a recipe for disaster when facing a tough coverage matchup. Awuzie is No. 6 in Pass Break-Ups and No. 17 in Target Separation. Along with the tough matchup, only four NFL teams allow more fantasy points per game to wide receivers than the Cincinnati Bengals.
FADE – Adam Thielen (CB Matchup: Byron Murphy – No. 16)
According to Pro Football Reference, the Cardinals have allowed 18.9 fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers, the No. 9-fewest in the NFL. Thielen’s Target Share, Air Yards Share, and Yards Per Route Run are outside the top-35. Similar to last week against Drake London, Byron Murphy and the Cardinals’ defense allow league-leading Yards After Catch, but Thielen (No. 86) is not equipped to capitalize on their glaring weakness.
PLAY – Mack Hollins (CB Matchup: Paulson Adebo – No. 110)
Mack Hollins is discount Gabriel Davis. Low Target Share wide receivers with high Snap Shares and Route Participation plus top-10 Average Target Distance. And “Discount Gabriel Davis” is facing a defense that is allowing the No. 5-most yards AND fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers according to Pro Football Reference.
Paulson Adebo, a second-year cornerback, has been a disaster this season. He’s outside the top-80 in most cornerback metrics. Instead of listing his bad metrics, I’ll leave you with one: his Passer Rating Allowed is 158.3, which is a perfect QB rating. Hollins is available in 90-percent of leagues. If you are desperate for a wide receiver this week, he’s a STRONG play this week.