Featured Articles

Apologies for disturbing that post-Thanksgiving coma, but there is still plenty of football left in Week 12 of the NFL season. Sunday will be much more entertaining, with some key divisional matchups and teams jockeying for playoff seeding. Heat up those Turkey leftovers, kick back and enjoy another day of bird and ball. There’s work to be done first, however. The Infirmary is a busy place.

Cam Newton and Robby Anderson are BACK. Anderson has averaged 6 targets and 4.5 receptions on a 20-percent Target Share in his last two games without Sam Darnold. Also, the matchup is prime for Anderson because Miami ranks last in receiving yards and receptions allowed. The probability of Anderson hitting the OVER is strong when considering his current trajectory in the Carolina offense in conjunction with the leaky Miami defense.

Take the OVER on Trevor Lawrence in a bounce back game against Atlanta. Lawrence hit the UNDER on this line in his past three games against Buffalo, Indianapolis and San Francisco, but Atlanta’s defense is one of the friendliest to opposing quarterbacks, ranking dead last in quarterback pressures and No. 30 in opponent completion percentage. As a result, Lawrence will not be hamstrung by his dreadful 29.4-percent (No. 34 among qualified quarterbacks) Pressured Completion Percentage.

You can mix Miles Sanders into Giants-Eagles game stacks after he registered a season-high in carries with his second-most red zone attempts, returning from his first game since getting injured. His pricing alone makes for a sexy play, not to mention the Giants rank No. 28 against the running back. He is just $100 above Chuba Hubbard and $200 above Giovani Bernard and Mike Davis. 

The Bucs have allowed 13 receiving touchdowns to only six rushing touchdowns on the year. The Carson Wentz-Michael Pittman connection will be alive and well. Not only does Pittman have 81 (No. 17 among qualified wide receivers) targets, he also has 11 (No. 16) red zone targets and 516 (No. 11) Completed Air Yards. Regardless of who is in coverage, Pittman is going to eat. 

A week removed from a top three QB finish (30.8 DKPt), Jalen Hurts projects as the QB2. While the trio of rushing touchdowns against New Orleans was a bit of a fluke, Hurts’ QB1 upside is not. Expect a lot of plays to be run on both sides of the ball as this game leads the slate in Pace of Play. Pair Hurts with DeVonta Smith or Dallas Goedert or run him solo but whatever you do, don’t fade him.

With Cam Newton injected back into the Panther’s offense, Robby Anderson is back in the conversation. With Newton, Anderson has nearly matched D.J. Moore with a 20-percent Target Share and Receptions (9). The Dolphins can be had over the top too, as they rank dead last in explosive plays (20 plus yards downfield). At only $4,700 and projecting to be hardly owned, there are worse spots to find this kind of upside.

Dynasty managers that had the privilege of starting Austin Ekeler versus the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 11 were rewarded with a career best 41.5 point fantasy day (RB2). Eleven weeks into the 2021 campaign, Ekeler is averaging 22.1 Fantasy Points Per Game (RB3) – his most productive fantasy season to date. The 26 year-old UDFA earns 15.59 Lifetime Value points to rise three spots to RB11 in dynasty.

Back from injury to face the Atlanta Falcon’s in Week 11, Damien Harris had company in the Patriots backfield. He will need to be productive in Week 12 to keep rookie Rhamondre Stevenson from earning an even greater share of the Pats backfield. On the season, he trails Stevenson in both Juke Rate and Yards Created Per Touch. Harris loses 22.96 Lifetime Value points to drop seven spots to RB31. Stevenson climbs up to RB34.

Week 12 showcases two games that feature two teams with seven or more wins. The Tennessee Titans facing the New England Patriots makes one of the said matchups. The other is this article’s featured showdown: the 7-3 Los Angeles Rams traveling north to take on the 8-3 Green Bay Packers. One point separates these two in the eyes of Vegas, who view the Rams as the favorite. This matchup intrigues from all angles, so analyzing it is a must.

The Packers are an hour away from punching the clock on their night shift, while the Rams woke up from a good night’s sleep. The states of these two teams are polar opposites after the Rams came off a bye last week, while the Packers are battered and bruised with their bye next week. Vegas likes the Rams as one-point favorites, and it’s hard to find fault in their process.

Ja’Marr Chase, a prospect with a near flawless college profile, demonstrated that he can not only win, but excel when targeted downfield. He averaged an absurd 21.2 (96th-percentile among qualified wide receivers) College YPC, while pacing the NCAA and SEC in receiving yards. He scored 20 receiving touchdowns at age 21 as a true man among boys and was drafted No. 5 overall in the 2020 NFL Draft. The NFL industrial complex provided the biggest signal, that hey, this guy may just be good at football.

Ja’Marr Chase is 6-0, ran a 4.39 (95th-percentile) 40-yard dash at the NFL Combine, and posted a 135.7 (97th-percentile) Burst Score. A prototypical alpha X receiver with a 19.5 (77th-percentile) Breakout Age who posted a 1,780 yard sophomore season at LSU is not the next Justin Jefferson? Those touts were right, he was better than Jefferson in college and now he’s better than Jefferson in the NFL.

Devonta Smith cooled off last week posting only 10.1 fantasy points against Marshon Lattimore and the Saints. However, Smith has averaged 14.5 Fantasy Points Per Game over the past four weeks. Up against another top corner in James Bradberry, Smith may find it difficult to post more the 20 FPPG like he did in Weeks 9 and 10, however his floor remains high based on his share of Air Yards in the Eagles offense. He is a recommended play in all formats.

Courtland Sutton’s vanishing act since Jerry Jeudy’s return is outright alarming. In games that Jeudy has not played in this season, Sutton has averaged 146 Air Yards. In the games that Jeudy has played, that average plummets to 43 Air Yards. He has been outgained in Air Yards the past two games by both Tim Patrick and Jeudy. Sutton is a tournament dart throw this week.

The High Value Touch DFS Index is here to help you find the best plays for the dollar in DFS. This is done by looking at leaders in Carries Inside The 10-Yard Line Per Game and Targets Inside The 10-Yard Line Per Game and comparing their prices on DraftKings and FanDuel to create a rating. We look at these touches close to the end zone because touchdowns lead to fantasy points, and fantasy points lead to cashing our lineups in DFS!

The index showcases low-dollar running backs that are getting high-value touches inside the 10-yard line. The smaller slate leads to less available options to consider. Aaron Jones, Myles Gaskin, and Darrell Henderson make for interesting tournament plays this week. Jeff Wilson and Jordan Howard are players to remove from your player pool.

Once Antonio Brown and Stefon Diggs found their new homes in Tampa Bay and Buffalo, they thrived with the change of scenery. One would assume Odell Beckham will thrive in the Rams offense, especially after they lost Robert Woods for the rest of the year with a torn ACL. However, I am here to make the argument that it will not be much of a difference.

In negotiations to deal Odell Beckham, make sure you point out his ability to still get open and how he will be a week-winner for their team with his big play potential. Also, argue for Matthew Stafford’s MVP case and how he will feed Beckham now with Robert Woods out. Beckham will be better now that he is out of Cleveland, but that is not a high bar to clear. Leave that headache for someone else and get yourself a second-half rebound candidate.