Lessons Learned – Week 10

by Al Scherer, November 15, 2021

Tua Tagovailoa is improving – though his season-long Passer Rating is only 87.3, he’s been at least 95.1 in 3 of his last 4 games and has some great matchups coming up. Jaylen Waddle quietly leads the league in Routes Run and is top-12 in Targets, Receptions, True Catch Rate, and Yards After Catch. And he’s catching 70-percent of his targets. The Dolphins DST is worth a flyer. DST scoring is about turnovers. Miami is starting to create them again and won’t face another high-scoring team the rest of the year.

On a team with no quarterback and no receivers, D’Andre Swift managed to put up 130 rushing yards against the Steelers. As a team, they did manage to put up 229 yards rushing and two scores. Heading into today’s game, he led the league in Target Share, Receptions, and was No. 2 in Receiving Yards. He is No. 3 in Yards Created. He’s a star but, because of his team, get less attention than he deserves. In dynasty, overpay if doing so can get Swift onto your team. Offload any and all parts of this Steelers passing game.

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The Infirmary Report- Week 10

by The “Mad Chatter” Ryan MK, November 14, 2021

Nine weeks down, nine left to go. It’s crunch time as fantasy football leagues approach the playoffs. As for this week’s action, there’s chaos abound. Returning quarterbacks, backup quarterbacks, beat up backfields and a star wideout on a new team- this week has it all. Relax… The Infirmary has it covered!

Sure, it’s great Dallas is getting Michael Gallup back, and Scott Miller’s return for Tampa would come at a much needed time. The big news, however, is Seattle getting their signal caller back. Russell Wilson and the Seahawks are gearing up to make a run, and it‘s time to simply Let Russ Cook. It’s entirely possible; coach Carrol’s recent comments suggest he’s aware of his fate sans the great quarterback. It’s like Russ himself said – “No more pin, time to win.”

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Fantasy Football King Jonathan Taylor: The First of his Name

by Jared Michelizzi, November 13, 2021

Guess who leads the league at Running Back in EPA? That’s right, it’s your soon-to-be new King, Jonathan Taylor. He has a whopping +29.93 EPA. It bears repeating that Taylor’s EPA is literally double that of McCaffrey’s. The importance of this is to be the best running back in football you need to be more than a fantasy points compiler. This points to Taylor being not only the best fantasy football running back, but also the best running back in “real” football.

After digging in, we saw Taylor was the number one fantasy producer down the stretch last year. He is creating the most yards out of any running back this season. He is the most valuable running back in terms of adding points to his team’s success this season. Lastly, he has the most YAC out of any running back this season. I would say that makes him the best running back in the league. King Jonathan, First of his name.

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Underdog Pick’em Plays: Week 10

by Cornhole God, November 13, 2021

A bounce back week is on tap for the Bills when they face off against a “division rival” in the Jets and Emmanuel Sanders will continue to be heavily involved in this get right right matchup. He has made the most of the opportunity with 17.5 (No. 1 among qualified WRs) Average Target Distance and 17.1 (No. 6) Yards Per Reception. Most importantly, he has hit 52 receiving yards in six out of eight games this season.

Seattle’s horrific rush defense will yield over 44.5 rushing yards to A.J. Dillon this weekend. Dillon has at least a 30-percent Snap Share in five games since Week 4, and he has hit this line in four out of five of those games. If this trend continues, then I would take the OVER on this line up to 46.5 rushing yards.

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Dynasty Market Movers – Week 9 Report

by Steve Smith, November 13, 2021

Over 600 days have gone by since Cam Newton was released from the Carolina Panthers organization. Earlier this week, the 2015 NFL MVP returned home to Charlotte. The one-year deal revives Newton’s dynasty value adding 6.91 Lifetime Value points (the most of any QB this update) to climb 20 spots to QB36 on PlayerProfiler’s dynasty rankings.

Without D.J. Chark in the lineup over the past four games, most fantasy gamers would have expected an increase in Laviska Shenault stock. Instead, it’s been an exercise in frustration with three of four weekly performances of WR57 or worse. He still has not posted a 100 receiving yard game in his NFL career and is scoreless this season.Averaging 8.6 (No. 59) Fantasy Points Per Game thus far in 2021 (2.6 per game fewer than his rookie year), Shenault drops seven spots to fall to WR42.

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NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks for Week 10

by Dookie Hogue, November 13, 2021

Game-log bros might fade the Colts after seeing the Jags skunk the Bills in Week 9 but don’t be worried. The Jaguars 49-percent Pass Success Rate allowed (No. 3) and No. 32 ranked Pass DVOA is the path of least resistance for a Colt’s team with a high 29 point implied team total (No. 4). The Jaguars are allowing 21.4 DKPt to quarterbacks (which is also our median projection). Stack Carson Wentz with Michael Pittman with a James Robinson runback to be unique.

Chris Godwin gets the PFF No. 1 graded WR/CB matchup facing the Football Team defense. The issue here is his foot injury that has caused him to miss practice all week. He plays in the early set of games though, so we’ll know ahead of time whether to pivot. If he goes, he’s near a lock play given the matchup and game total (30.5). If he misses, Mike Evans is a very strong play.

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The Pareto Principals Week 10: Good Chalk, Bad Chalk

by Jakob Sanderson, November 12, 2021

Pending injury news, the common structure this week should include one elite running back, paired with one of the free squares, and a game stack around it in the wide receiver slots. This generally presents an either/or question for you to consider in each lineup. Would you rather pair one of the top-owned game-stacks with a unique running back construction? Or would you rather stack an under the radar game and give yourself the chance to play any running backs you wish?

I always say in this column that my goal is to submit lineups that require the fewest number of correct assumptions to win. It is not uncommon to see situations such as last week where a high-ceiling stack such as the Chargers is less than five-percent owned in a small field. Because you are correlating one under-owned decision, you can play far more chalk-pieces around it. I’m playing three-four under-owned players, but it’s all correlated to one singular outcome. This is always my favourite way to play small-fields.

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Targeting Games for DFS Week 10 Matchups

by Chase Vernon, November 12, 2021

There are some great running backs I’d love to play in the DFS Week 10 matchups, but the pricing makes it difficult. However, if you think Washington can come back firing after a bye, then a contrarian play could pay off tremendously. Taylor Heinicke offers rushing upside, so you don’t need to stack a bunch of players around him. In fact, I might argue you can run him naked. However, J.D. McKissic or Terry McLaurin will likely play a role in his success; meanwhile, don’t forget about DeAndre Carter. 

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Three DFS Quarterback-Wide Receiver Stacks for Week 10

by Taylor Williams, November 12, 2021

With fantasy gamers chasing the high point total in the Chargers Vikings game, find a way to get exposure without eating chalk through the Vikes passing game. Justin Jefferson is excelling this year in the red zone and on deep passes; sounds exactly like what you’re looking for in GPPs. Also, consider fading the recent struggles and going back to Josh Allen with one of the highest implied team totals for the week.

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High Value Touch DFS Index – Week 10

by Mark Kieffer, November 11, 2021

The High Value Touch DFS Index is here to help you find the best plays for the dollar in DFS. This is done by looking at leaders in Carries Inside The 10-Yard Line Per Game and Targets Inside The 10-Yard Line Per Game and comparing their prices on DraftKings and FanDuel to create a rating. We look at these touches close to the end zone because touchdowns lead to fantasy points, and fantasy points lead to cashing our lineups in DFS!

Leonard Fournette and Ezekiel Elliott (if healthy) are cash game viable this week from this list. James Robinson is an interesting tournament play away from Fournette if he is healthy, and Mike Davis is someone to cross off your player pool list as his elevated ranking is based on the first several weeks of the season more than anything else.

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