NFL Monkey Knife Fight Props: Week 11

by Cody Carpentier, November 21, 2020

Since Week 6, the Eagles have averaged 6.05 Yards Per Carry, while averaging just 6.45 Yards Per Pass Attempt. Miles Sanders has over 80 yards in 5-of-6 games and over 95 in 3-of-6. Since returning from injury in Week 10, expect Sanders to take advantage of a Cleveland run defense that has ranked No. 25 over the last three games.

Not only did Miles Sanders return from injury in Week 10, but Nick Chubb also returned for Cleveland with 126 yards on the ground. Chubb has eclipsed 100 yards in his last three finished games. Cleveland and Philadelphia are known as strong run defenses, but the Eagles are No. 28, allowing 148 yards per game over their last three. 

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Air Yards DFS Value Index – Week 11

by Edward DeLauter, November 21, 2020

Adam Thielen is the official Air Yards value king! His presence in this section should be no surprise, having appeared here four times before. He is solidly within the top 10 at his position in both Air Yards and Air Yards Share. Coming off a week where he scored over 20 fantasy points, Thielen has a great matchup against a highly exploitable Cowboys secondary. Look for another 20-fantasy point game this week.

After a breakout performance in Week 9, and a top 35 finish at the position in Week 10, Jerry Jeudy’s $5,300 price on DraftKings has to be a glitch. Seeing almost 500 Air Yards over the past three games, Jeudy is the alpha wide receiver some predicted he would be around NFL Draft time. Despite a tough matchup against Miami, he can be deployed across all formats with confidence.

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Dynasty Market Movers: Week 10 Report

by Steve Smith, November 21, 2020

At 15.6 (No. 16 among qualified wide receivers) Fantasy Points per Game, Tee Higgins leads all rookie wide receivers. His 603 (No. 19) receiving yards place him second in receiving on the Bengals and second to Justin Jefferson in the rookie race. Over the last two games, Higgins has seen 18 targets, which is three more than Tyler Boyd and eight more than fading A.J. Green. With Green set to hit free agency in 2021, the Joe Burrow-Tee Higgins combination is an exciting one for dynasty owners.

Philadelphia’s sixth-round free agent sensation Travis Fulgham saw double digit targets from Weeks 5-7. In Week 10, Fulgham caught only one of his five targets for eight yards. Way to dampen the hype. He’s now seen his targets decrease in two consecutive games. During this time, Jalen Reagor, Dallas Goedert and Alshon Jeffery all returned to the lineup. Fulgham sees the biggest Lifetime Value drop for wide receivers, moving outside the Top 50 at the position.

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Upside Wide Receivers For Week 11 GPPs

by Alex Johnson, November 21, 2020

D.J. Chark holds a 33.8-percent (No.13) Air Yards Share, so as long as Jake Luton is looking downfield, Chark will benefit as we saw in his 146-yard outing in Week 9. While the Steelers feel like an intimidating matchup, they actually rank middle of the pack against the pass and are tied for the third-most touchdowns allowed to opposing wide receivers. We know Chark can produce the boom weeks and he will likely see low ownership because of the matchup despite the $5,700 price tag on DraftKings.

All three of Pittsburgh’s starting wideouts saw double-digit targets and found the end zone in Week 10. But it’s Diontae Johnson who has seen 10 or more targets in five of nine games this season, with 39 targets over the last four. This Steelers-Jaguars game features two high-volume passing offenses, so despite the low over/under, Johnson will still see plenty of opportunity to rack up fantasy points against one of the league’s worst pass defenses. You can’t go wrong at $5,900.

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Wide Receiver-Cornerback Matchups to Target: Fantasy Football Week 11

by Aaron Stewart, November 21, 2020

At 6-4, 223-pounds, Michael Pittman has the prototypical size that the Indianapolis Colts lack in their receiver core. Combined with his 111.2 (93rd-percentile among qualified wide receivers) Speed Score and 10.24 (89th-percentile) Catch Radius, he is a red zone threat for Philip Rivers to target. Kevin King is Pittman’s primary coverage this week and he plays his first game since Week 4 due to a quad injury. King struggled before his injury, hence his low spot on the cornerback rankings.

The Patriots-Texans game has an O/U set at 49 points, and only three games on the slate have a higher projected total. On top of that, the Texans are a Vegas underdog playing at home in a dome. While Brandin Cooks has out-targeted Will Fuller in each of the last three games, it doesn’t matter. Expected to play from behind in a dome against weaker primary coverage means that Fuller is a wide receiver to start in a high-scoring game.

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Leveraging the NFL’s Most Volatile Receivers for GPP Upside in Week 11

by Matthew M. Stevens, November 20, 2020

In what profiles as a smash spot for Dallas receivers, large-field GPPs gamers should target CeeDee Lamb. Priced in between Amari Cooper ($6,900) and Michael Gallup ($5,400) on DraftKings, Lamb ($5,800) offers leverage at low projected rostership. Minnesota has yielded 19 receiving touchdowns so far this season and allows +4.09 fantasy points above the mean to opposing receivers, both the sixth-most in the league.

Chase Claypool’s volatile nature coupled with the overall talent of the Steelers receiving corps makes pinpointing his blowup weeks tough. However, he’s a threat to take it to the house each time he touches the ball and his heady ceiling can’t be ignored. Despite his success, he is an undervalued GPP asset this week with low projected rostership in a matchup against Jacksonville.

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Weighted Opportunities DFS Value Index – Week 11

by Sean McClure, November 20, 2020

Salvon Ahmed has little long term value with a pedestrian athletic profile and Myles Gaskin set to return in the near future. But for this week against the Broncos, he should be a smash play at only $5,600. He will get the majority of the ground work and the Dolphins should have positive Game Script. That is enough to make him a good play at that price, especially in cash.

No one knows why, but Adam Gase continues to give Frank Gore ten-plus touches a week despite having the most negative Game Script of any team in the league. It does not make sense, but that touch volume continues to put Gore on the Value Rating list. He is the cheapest starting running back, but fantasy gamers have to hold their nose to play him in any format.

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Free Square DFS Running Backs for Week 11

by Taylor Smith, November 19, 2020

As if 2020 couldn’t get any weirder, Kalen Ballage was signed off the street two weeks ago and is now a featured back in the NFL. The former fourth-rounder has handled 40 touches over the last two weeks and has scored 16.4 and 15.2 DraftKings fantasy points. He also has a combined 12 red zone opportunities and nine target. At just $5600, he’s a solid cash play if you don’t want to spend $9000 on two RB spots and is good tournament leverage off of Keenan Allen and Justin Herbert.

After two tough rushing matchups against the Jaguars and Browns, Duke Johnson’s efficiency should rise against this lackluster Patriots unit. This game has serious shootout potential with two bad defenses against at least one capable offense. DFS gamers have been spoiled this season by massive shootouts with 56-point totals, making the 49-point total of this game seem modest. The over has a serious chance of hitting and Johnson presents a great opportunity to get exposure to it at low ownership.

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Buy High and Sell Low Players After Week 10: Michael Pittman Breakout

by Kyle Dvorchak, November 19, 2020

Michael Pittman broke out in Week 10 with 101 yards on seven receptions. His college profile indicates that he will keep breaking out all over the place and suggests he can be the focal point of the Colts passing attack. He posted an above-average College Dominator Rating and is a supreme athlete. His 112.1 SPARQ-x score is in the 73rd-percentile among qualified wide receivers. If there is a second-round pick to be buying on in Indianapolis, it’s Pittman.

Jerick McKinnon is outside the top-30 RBs in Juke Rate, Yards per Touch, True Yards per Carry, and most other important metrics. The 49ers have also shown a general reluctance to get him the ball frequently. When practice squad player Jeff Wilson was on the roster with McKinnon, Kyle Shanahan chose to split the work between them. With Raheem Mostert supposedly on track to return next week, McKinnon will likely continue to be efficient, but on less volume.

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Three DFS Quarterback-Wide Receiver Stacks for Week 11

by Taylor Williams, November 19, 2020

Jalen Reagor, Miles Sanders and Alshon Jeffery are back in action. Those upgrades make a big difference for both Carson Wentz’s floor and ceiling. He’ll have viable pass-catchers to go along with his unheralded rushing production. So many rookie WRs have popped in this class, and after dealing with some injuries, it’s time for Reagor to do the same. Enjoy the cost savings of the $4,300 price tag to fill out the rest of your roster.

As one of the cheapest options on the slate, playing in a dome, against a not particularly threatening defense, it may not feel great, but there is a lot to like about Andy Dalton this week. Amari Cooper’s 8.5 (No. 84 among qualified wide receivers) Average Target Distance shows he’s getting easy targets near the line of scrimmage which he can take and turn up field, evidenced by his 220 (No. 18) Yards after the Catch. That presents a solid combination of floor and ceiling for the dollar.

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