Air Yards DFS Value Index – Week 9

by Edward DeLauter, November 7, 2020

D.J. Moore is coming off a disappointing Week 8 performance against a highly exploitable Falcons secondary where he failed to crest double digits fantasy points. However, those disappointed with him this season need to keep the faith. The last time he appeared on this list, he exploded for 25.3 fantasy points, finishing as the WR6 in Week 7. Moore should see penalty of opportunity in a negative Game Script against the Kansas City Chiefs.

Darius Slayton appears to have taken a back seat to Sterling Shepard in the Giants passing game. However, he still led the Giants with 122 Air Yards last week. Slayton previously scored 11.8 fantasy points against Washington in Week 6. With Shepard back to divert the attention of Washington’s defense, he should be able to realize some more Air Yards this week.

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Wide Receiver-Cornerback Matchups to Target: Fantasy Football Week 9

by Aaron Stewart, November 7, 2020

Remaining injury-free to this point of the season has allowed Will Fuller to reach his fantasy football potential. His dominance is represented in his +26.7 (No. 6 among qualified wide receivers) Production Premium and 28.4-percent (No. 18) Dominator Rating. Sidney Jones’ sample size is too small for his stats to qualify among cornerbacks, but his 14.5 Yards Per Reception Allowed is a problematic stat when matching up with a deep threat such as Fuller.

A touchdown in Week 2 prevented Marvin Jones from scoring under 10.0 fantasy points in each of the first five games despite Kenny Golladay missing the first two. Since then, he has scored 13.0 or more fantasy points in both of his games and had his two best showings as it relates to Air Yards. Fortunately for Jones, Minnesota’s primary coverage for him this week is Kris Boyd, who draws the start with the Vikings missing most of their cornerbacks due to injuries.

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Upside Wide Receivers For Week 9 GPPs

by Alex Johnson, November 6, 2020

With an incredible 24.6 career Yards Per Reception average, Marvin Hall saw greater opportunity in Week 8 with Kenny Golladay exiting early with an injury. He took full advantage, showing off his explosive ability with 113 yards on four receptions. At $3,800, it’s hard to resist the upside Hall brings vs cost. He will see a Vikings defense that has allowed the third-most yards per pass attempt (8.5) and the third-most Fantasy Points per Game to wide receivers.

Even with Diontae Johnson and JuJu Smith-Schuster playing ahead of him, Chase Claypool has been incredibly efficient with his opportunities. We know he is capable of massive boom weeks, and Week 9 has all the makings of being one of those outings. With Diontae Johnson battling through injuries seemingly every week, the Steelers will lean on their star rookie more often. He is reasonably priced at $5,700 on DraftKings.

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Free Square DFS Running Backs for Week 9

by Taylor Smith, November 6, 2020

With no obvious cheap QBs and TEs on the main slate, DraftKings has some tough pricing decisions at the top. Paying down at one RB slot for a cash lineup makes sense this week. Justin Jackson is a clear lead back in a solid game environment with an elite matchup against the Raiders in a game with the third-highest total on the slate at 51.5 points.

J.K. Dobbins draws another tough matchup against a Colts defense that ranks No. 5 in Defensive Rushing DVOA, but his ability to evade tackles and create explosive runs for himself will allow him to remain efficient. His lack of receiving usage limits his floor, meaning he’ll need another 100-yard game or a touchdown to hit value in a cash lineup, but Dobbins is an exciting tournament option with a massive ceiling.

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Leveraging the NFL’s Most Volatile Receivers for GPP Upside in Week 9

by Matthew M. Stevens, November 5, 2020

Mike Williams offers a main slate leverage play off of Keenan Allen for Week 9, with an enticing $5,100 salary on DraftKings and projected rostership at less than 10-percent. His 11.0 Weekly Volatility mark ranks No. 7 among qualified wide receivers and denotes his extreme fantasy scoring fluctuation. With the weather becoming more volatile week-to-week, indoor matchups like this one at SoFi Stadium against the Raiders offer static environments that favor scoring.

With a bye week to prepare the Jaguars offense under Jake Luton, it’s a low-key smash spot for D.J. Chark against the Texans. Houston’s secondary allows +6.90 fantasy points above the mean to opposing receivers, the fourth-highest mark in the league. Chark carries his lowest salary of the season ($5,500) on DraftKings, where it dipped below $6,000 for the first time. His rostership projects to be minimal, offering leverage in a game with a projected total of 50.5 points.

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Weighted Opportunities DFS Value Index – Week 9

by Sean McClure, November 5, 2020

Devin Singletary has the No. 9-ranked Route Participation rate among qualified running backs, while also maintaining a 28.1-percent (No. 15) Juke Rate. Elusive pass catching running backs win weeks. As a bonus, Singletary has a juicy matchup against the Seattle Seahawks, who have the perfect combination of beatable defense and transcendent offense that forces opponents into pass-heavy schemes. Singletary is poised for a breakout performance and usable in all formats.

Antonio Gibson seems to be a fixture here on the DFS Value Index in the high single-digits. With Washington finally in a favorable matchup against the lowly Giants, this is a good week to capitalize on his reasonable cost. He averages over 70 total yards per game and has had touchdown success with four (No. 16) on the year. The touchdown rate may come down, but Gibson should be a lock in cash and a worthwhile play in GPPs while he’s this inexpensive.

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Dynasty Market Movers: Week 8 Report

by Steve Smith, November 5, 2020

Two inches taller and 20-pounds heavier than his running mate Devin Singletary, it’s become apparent that Zack Moss is the preferred goal-line option for the Bills. This puts him in the low to mid RB2 range. Josh Allen will continue to cannibalize a portion of red zone carries and the timeshare with Singletary isn’t going away. However, Moss’ touchdown upside is music to the ears of dynasty owners.

Seeing his first career start in Week 6, Albert Okwuegbunam filled in for an injured Noah Fant and tied for the team lead with six targets. He converted them into two receptions for 45 yards. Although his opportunity has decreased with Fant back in the fold, he remains on the field, running 14 routes in Week 8 and catching his lone target for a TD. The landscape of the NFL changes fast. The fourth-round rookie is a high-upside TE stash and player to monitor in dynasty leagues.

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Buy High and Sell Low Players After Week 8: Corey Davis Resurrection

by Kyle Dvorchak, November 4, 2020

Corey Davis has largely struggled in the NFL, but he hasn’t been Josh Doctson or Laquon Treadwell-level bad. He posted 955 yards from scrimmage in his second NFL season. That came on a Titans offense that ranked No. 25 in total yards per game. Davis is a volatile WR3 and has a non-zero chance of continuing to outproduce A.J. Brown in the coming weeks.

Marquise Brown’s usage has been supreme. He has a 23.8-percent (No. 15 among qualified wide receivers) Target Share and a 38.9-percent (No. 7) Air Yards Share. The problem has been his quarterback’s accuracy. Unless Lamar Jackson miraculously turns his season around, Brown should be viewed as a boom/bust WR3. As the top-target of the reigning MVP, Brown may have more value in trades than he’s actually worth.

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Three DFS Quarterback-Wide Receiver Stacks for Week 9

by Taylor Williams, November 4, 2020

We’re banking on a get-right game this week for Josh Allen against a porous Seahawks defense. At $7,000 on DraftKings, he has slate-breaking upside. Stefon Diggs is the queen chess piece of this Bills offense. DraftKings priced him up to $7,400 this week in anticipation of the matchup, but his underlying opportunity is still too good to pass up.

Typically a game manager, Teddy Bridgewater will be forced to come out firing this week in order to keep up with a Chiefs offense that will not have problems against the soft Panthers defense. Robby Anderson continues to be undervalued by DraftKings based on the opportunity he’s getting. Bank on the underlying opportunity for the high floor and hope the TDs start to come for the ceiling.

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DeeJay Dallas and Other Week 9 Waiver Wire Targets

by Christopher Buonagura, November 3, 2020

DeeJay Dallas was a top 5 running back in Week 8 with the Seattle backfield ravaged by injuries. There is no guarantee that Chris Carson or Carlos Hyde come back this week, and an every-week role is possible for Dallas regardless. Any running back can thrive when playing in the same backfield as Russell Wilson.

Kendrick Bourne is one of the few last men standing in San Francisco. Bourne caught eight-of-ten targets in Week 8 for 81 yards following Deebo Samuel and George Kittle injuries. Nick Mullens has shown an ability to generate fantasy-viable wide receivers. It is also possible that this offense struggles to put up points in general. Bourne is a fair consolation prize if you fail to acquire anyone else this week.

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