Week 5 Lessons Learned: The Deshaun Watson Freedom Tour is On

by Tyler Strong, October 12, 2020

Deshaun Watson recorded his first win of the season, pouring 359 yards and three scores on the Jaguars. The Texans lock horns with the divisional rival Titans next week. An opponent Watson has averaged 262 passing yards and 2.5 touchdowns against over their last four matchups. He will be a popular DFS play in both cash and tournaments, and I’m not the one to talk you out of him.

Chase Claypool destroyed the Eagles defensive backs all day long, with Darius Slay occupying a combination of JuJu Smith-Schuster and an injured Diontae Johnson. The Notre Dame WR/TE hybrid touched the ball ten times, recording 111 yards to go along with his four scores. He’s a truly unique aspect of the Steelers offense that appeared back to full force on Sunday on the way to a 4-0 start.

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How We Almost Became Millionaires

by Jimmy Spark, October 11, 2020

Everyone wants to be better at daily fantasy, but most people do not have time to research every player in-depth, figure out which of the hundreds of DFS tools to utilize or iterate over the many Lineup Optimizers flooding the space. PlayerProfiler’s DFS Lineup Genius keeps it simple. In week 2, one of our featured […]

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Tomorrow’s Newspaper: Tua Tagovailoa and Waiver Wire Prescience for Week 5

by Ray Marzarella, October 11, 2020

Newly-minted starting QBs always make for priority waiver wire targets. Especially when they have Konami Code upside and are among the most efficient college QBs of all time. Skip the middle man. Get Tua Tagovailoa on your roster now to avoid the inevitable rush to acquire him when he becomes the starter in Miami. If Ryan Fitzpatrick has another dud this week and the Dolphins drop to 1-4, Tua Time may come sooner than anticipated.

With Russell Wilson finally being allowed to play at an MVP-caliber level, it makes sense to target pieces of his passing offense. That includes David Moore, who comes off his best statistical and fantasy outing of the young season. The Snap Share and routes have trended downwards, but Moore still went 3-95-1 on four Week 4 targets, also logging 81 Air Yards despite a season-low 13 routes run. Despite a 7.6 (No. 31 among qualified wide receivers) Weekly Volatility mark, it shows that we want to have him stashed to play in deeper leagues in the right matchups.

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The Infirmary- PlayerProfiler’s Week 5 Injury Report

by The “Mad Chatter” Ryan MK, October 10, 2020

The Broncos continue to pile up the beaten bodies, with K.J. Hamler the next man down. Though Tim Patrick has played well with the opportunity afforded to him, Jerry Jeudy is the receiver to roster. If Drew Lock returns, he’ll do so to a depleted receiver group; so don’t sleep on Jeudy going bananas over the next few weeks.

In what has become rather routine for the Eagles, they will once again be short handed at wide receiver (and tight end, for that matter). Sure, Zach Ertz will get his, but another receiver needs to step up. Greg Ward has been solid, but nothing spectacular in his run as the top guy. The interesting name here is Travis Fulgham. Promoted from the practice squad, Fulgham stepped in and made two big catches last Sunday. Monitor this situation.

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Damien Harris: Taking the Spotlight

by The “Mad Chatter” Ryan MK, October 10, 2020

At 5-10 and 216-pounds, Damien Harris shows quickness. He posted above average marks in Speed Score and Burst Score, with a 4.57 40-Yard Dash that ranks in the 56th-percentile among qualified running backs. With Sony Michel out for the foreseeable future due to a quad injury, Harris becomes a focal point of the New England ground attack. Once Cam Newton returns, the offense will become more productive. This is a boon for Harris, who can take some of those goal line carries.

In 2018, Harris caught 22 passes on 23 targets for 204 yards at 9.2 yards per reception. Yes, he had a 5.3-percent (27th-percentile) College Target Share, but he did share the backfield with Josh Jacobs during that 2018 season. Jacobs himself had 20 receptions for 247 yards that year. The floor with Harris will be solid, and the touchdowns will come. Adding a few receptions per game isn’t out of the question, and would be a boon for the back and those who roster him.

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Top DFS Flex Value Plays for Week 5

by Taylor Smith, October 10, 2020

While Darius Slayton’s 20.4-percent (No. 28 among qualified wide receivers) Target Share is modest, he ranks No. 4 with six Red Zone Targets and No. 11 with a 36.5-percent Air Yards Share. He is clearly their best player, and the Giants are trying to get the ball in his hands in high-leverage situations. This game against Dallas will be his best matchup of the season and he has the usage to post ridiculous numbers this week. He will be a popular cheap option for cash lineups.

Olamide Zaccheaus is also more than just a body running routes out there. While he stands 5-8, he has an above-average 40-yard dash, Burst Score, and Agility Score. He was also impressive in his college days at Virginia, posting a 36.5-percent (72nd-percentile) College Dominator Rating with a 34.1-percent (94th-percentile) College Target Share. After producing in a tough matchup with Kevin King last week, Zaccheaus is in a great spot against a Carolina secondary that ranks No. 26 in Defensive Passing DVOA.

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Air Yards DFS Value Index – Week 5

by Edward DeLauter, October 10, 2020

Calvin Ridley leads the entire league with 640 Air Yards, over 120 more than than the receiver who is second on the list. Additionally, Ridley is also near the top of the league with 362 (No. 2 among qualified wide receivers) Unrealized Air Yards, meaning that he should have even more production. Coming off a Week 4 goose egg, recency bias may contribute to fewer rostering him across the DraftKings platform. Don’t fall for this trap.

Damiere Byrd saw 150 Air Yards last week from likes of Brian Hoyer and Jared Stidham. His Snap Share in the Patriots offense has continued to grow each week, seeing 100-percent of the snaps in Week 4 against the Chiefs. Byrd has also posted at least 13.0 fantasy points in the weeks that he has drawn more than 10 Air Yards. While that stat may be somewhat deceiving, his role in the Patriots offense is not. He makes for an intriguing stone cold minimum Week 5 dart throw.

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Wide Receiver-Cornerback Matchups to Target: Fantasy Football Week 5

by Aaron Stewart, October 10, 2020

Pierre Desir’s 92.9-percent Catch Rate Allowed is the worst among cornerbacks that have been targeted more than three times. Wide receivers covered by Desir average 3.14 yards of Target Separation Allowed when the pass arrives at the wide receiver. That will prove problematic for Desir once again this week with DeAndre Hopkins averaging 2.04 (No. 23 among qualified wide receivers) yards of Target Separation.

Jeff Gladney is credited with allowing the most yards per route cover (2.46) according to PFF. Tyler Lockett averages 0.54 (No. 14) Fantasy Points Per Route Run and 37 (No. 16) Routes Run per Game. There are 30 cornerbacks with a higher Slot Rate than Gladney’s 25.8-percent mark. Of those cornerbacks, only four allow more than the 14.8 Yards per Reception that Gladney does. Good luck stopping Lockett in the slot.

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NFL Monkey Knife Fight Props: Week 5

by Cody Carpentier, October 10, 2020

With over 90 total yards in each of the first four games and three total touchdowns, James Robinson sits No. 6 in total fantasy points among running backs while averaging 19.1 (No. 9) Fantasy Points per Game. Houston’s No. 32-ranked defense has allowed 162 rushing yards per game and six total touchdowns to opponents. Not only are we taking Robinson in the Touchdown Dance, but we’re taking him over 74.7 yards in The Podfather’s Prop of The Week. 

In two career games against the Chiefs, Josh Jacobs has 7.0 yards per carry on 29 attempts. Jacobs leads the league with 83 carries and has logged 30 (No. 3) Evaded Tackles. He hasn’t scored since Week 1 against Carolina when he finished with three touchdowns, and looks to get back in the scoring column against a Chiefs defense that is bottom-5 against running backs in total yards allowed.

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Upside Wide Receivers For Week 5 GPPs

by Alex Johnson, October 10, 2020

Robby Anderson has out-targeted D.J. Moore 35 to 32 through four weeks with the team using him in a more dynamic role than he ever saw with the Jets. He draws a Falcons defense in Week 5 that is dealing with injuries to Keanu Neal (hamstring), Ricardo Allen (elbow) and Darqueze Dennard (hamstring). Week 5 sets up perfectly for a massive outing and, get this, he’s still under $6,000 on Draftkings.

The Falcons are likely to find themselves in another shootout in Week 5 with a total points over/under of 54.5 against Carolina. Olamide Zaccheaus profiles as an effective slot guy who is best comparable to Jamison Crowder. The ceiling may not be as high in regards to explosive plays for what we like in GPPs. Still, the pieces are in place for him to far out-produce his $3,000 cost on Draftkings, which ultimately makes him a great play even in tournaments.

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