Players to Buy and Sell in Dynasty Leagues Before the NFL Draft

by Ron Stewart, April 7, 2020

Cooper Kupp may not be sexy, but he is the smart buy in Dynasty Leagues. He not only had good production in 2019, but has accumulated quite the resume over his first three seasons. He was the WR24 as a rookie, WR4 in 2018 from Weeks 1-5 before a season-ending injury, and a Top 10 wide receiver in 2019. Sitting in the Top 35 on PlayerProfiler’s Dynasty Rankings, he is an obvious buy with an ADP of around pick No. 47 in FFPC Dynasty drafts.

Nick Chubb is a concerning long-term asset while he outgrows his rookie deal with two years left. He has to split opportunity with Kareem Hunt for at least one of these two years and then owners may get one year of RB1 production in 2021, but there’s always the possibility the Browns extend Hunt or use draft capital to replace Chubb. Recently, running backs have dropped significantly in value after shedding their rookie deals.

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Tua Tagovailoa Rookie Profile and Fantasy Football Outlook

by Taylor Smith, April 6, 2020

If Joe Burrow didn’t engineer the most prolific college football season of all time, Tua Tagovailoa would be the consensus No. 1 overall pick in the NFL Draft. Alabama thrust Tagovailoa into comeback mode in the 2017 National Championship as a 19-year-old true freshman. He replaced Jalen Hurts in the second half and put on a show, coming from behind with three touchdown passes to defeat Georgia. After that performance, Tua was destined for stardom.

With last year’s hip injury seemingly a non-factor, Tagovailoa is expected to be a Top-10 pick in the NFL Draft. The Miami Dolphins are an obvious landing spot, but don’t be surprised if the Los Angeles Chargers trade up for the young gunslinger. No matter where he lands, he has show efficiency and accuracy at a young age and has the legs to be an impact player on the ground. Mobile quarterbacks possess the “Konami Code” in fantasy football, giving us an edge over our competition.

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James Robinson Rookie Profile and Fantasy Football Outlook

by Marc Mathyk, April 6, 2020

James Robinson’s resume and stocky 5-9, 219-pound build suggests that he is naturally a two-down grinder with limited pass-catching ability. His 48.7-percent College Dominator Rating is as good as it gets, landing in the 98th-percentile among qualified running backs. Although he doesn’t have a known College Target Share percentage per se, we can conclude that it’s below average judging by his 44 receptions over four years.

Robinson is a solid prospect. He could’ve been an early Day Three pick if he had played for a Division I team. The chances of him being drafted will be slim. However, if he can find a team willing to take a chance after the draft, he can be a bargain signing. Regarding fantasy, one should not reach for Robinson no matter how much they have a soft spot for the small school underdog. If he lands in the right spot at the right time, his name can create buzz if injuries befall those ahead of him in their respective running back committee.

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Second-Year Wide Receiver Breakout Candidates

by Matthew Gajewski, April 6, 2020

Arguably the most unproven receiver room in the NFL, the Indianapolis Colts sit with T.Y. Hilton and Parris Campbell atop their wide receiver depth chart. While Campbell appeared in only seven games as a rookie, the former second-round pick should receive opportunity early in Indianapolis. The Colts already traded their first-round pick for DeForest Buckner, increasing Campbell’s likelihood of seeing the field. With little competition in his way, the former Buckeye is a strong candidate for a second-year breakout.

A second-year receiver from Toledo, Diontae Johnson looks capable of taking a second-year leap in Pittsburgh. He already appeared to ascend  near the end of 2019, posting 59 receptions and 680 receiving yards on 92 (No. 37) targets. Looking at the Steelers offense alone, this team completely collapsed without Ben Roethlisberger. With Big Ben now set to return, it’s wheels up for Johnson.

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Ultimate Winners and Losers from NFL Free Agency

by The Podfather, April 5, 2020

Teddy Bridgewater gains a substantial 4.83 lifetime value points on PlayerProfiler’s Dynasty Rankings after landing in the singular situation to maximize his limited skill set. The Panthers’ passing game features big time RB/WR hybrid playmakers, which is the ideal fit for a quarterback who keeps the ball close to the line of scrimmage. With Teddy throwing short darts, Carolina’s receiving corps could lead the NFL in team yards after catch.

What a stomach punch. Cam Newton goes from throwing passes to the best receiving corps in the league (D.J. Moore, Robby Anderson, Curtis Samuel, Christian McCaffrey, and Ian Thomas) to just needing someone to believe in him. According to his Instagram videos, Newton looks rededicated and is a great uncertainty-fueled value play later in fantasy drafts.

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Jacob Eason Rookie Profile and Fantasy Football Outlook

by Kyle Dvorchak, April 3, 2020

Devy League players have known of Jacob Eason since he threw his first touchdown in third grade, but most college football fans learned his name when he took the field at Georgia. At 6-6 and 231-pounds, he stands as tall as Ben Roethlisberger and packs as much weight as Jameis Winston. If he showed up on a football field, scouts would instinctually put him under center even if he was hired as an usher.

A big critique of Eason by scouts is his inability to avoid defenders in the pocket. This makes sense when considering his 12.25 (5th-percentile among qualified quarterbacks) Agility Score and 103.1 (16th-percentile) Burst Score. Unless he turns into an efficient passer, his NFL projection looks like Josh Allen without wheels (ie. Christian Hackenberg). He is a stock image of a professional quarterback. He superficially looks the part but he’s not the real deal, even if a team fires off a first-round selection on him.

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Stefon Diggs Will Separate From the Herd in Buffalo

by Etan Mozia, April 3, 2020

On the morning of March 16th, Stefon Diggs exchanged the purple and gold for red white and blue, sending the fantasy landscape into a frenzy in one fell swoop. His detractors will claim that the fit in Buffalo is a disjointed one and that the presence of John Brown and Cole Beasley will crowd out his volume. They’ll double down and state that Josh Allen’s accuracy woes will doom Diggs to a mediocre finish, but they’ll overlook the bigger picture and miss the forest for the trees.

All signs point to Diggs staying put in Buffalo for a long time, and stability is an underrated dynasty asset. He will be fine and now has the added benefit of being the true number one receiver on his team. John Brown is 29 years old and only signed through 2021. Being paired with Josh Allen isn’t a death sentence for one of the league’s best receivers entering his age-26 season and being one year away from a wide receiver’s statistical prime. Buy the dip.

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Thaddeus Moss Rookie Profile and Fantasy Football Outlook

by Taylor Smith, April 2, 2020

The 2019 LSU offense was arguably the most prolific of all time, meaning everyone produced. Thaddeus Moss only saw 51 targets, but he made the most of them. He hauled in 47 for 570 yards and four scores. Though Joe Burrow’s prolific passing season deflated Moss’ College Dominator to 10.0-percent (21st-percentile among qualified tight ends), making his stats seem less significant than they were. With a low share of team production, he never posted a breakout season by our metrics.

Moss’ relative lack of production along with his incomplete athletic profile will make it difficult for any NFL team to burn an early-round pick on him. That will make it harder for him to find the field as a rookie. In turn, his fantasy value also wouldn’t improve much in Year 1. One positive is that Moss’ final season at LSU showed that he has “it” in his range of outcomes. He won’t cost much, making him a low-risk flier for your team.

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Which Running Backs Will Lose Their Jobs in the NFL Draft?

by Matthew Gajewski, April 1, 2020

After exceeding expectations in 2018, James Conner battled injuries throughout 2019. With injury concerns dating back to college, Conner has yet to play an entire 16-game season in the NFL. After tearing his MCL at Pittsburgh, he missed a pair of games with an ankle sprain in 2018. Last year, he missed six games with an AC Joint sprain and a thigh contusion. With durability limiting his effectiveness, the Steelers may opt for a complimentary back in the 2020 NFL Draft.

Looking at the stats alone, Leonard Fournette consistently produces like a league-average running back. In 2019, he posted a 16.7-percent (No. 46 among qualified running backs) Juke Rate and 1.40 (No. 24) Yards Created per Carry. He did show growth as a receiver in 2019 with 76 catches. However, he recorded seven (No. 3) drops and failed to haul in a single target beyond ten yards downfield. With the potential to move on from him this offseason, the Jaguars look like a potential investor in the running back position in this year’s draft.

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