Analytics & Advanced Metrics

Shadow Rate is “the percentage of cover snaps a defensive back is assigned to a particular receiver on the play as opposed to the side of the formation.”
The leader in 2021 was J.C. Jackson, then of the New England Patriots. His Shadow Rate was 59.6.
Being tasked with going everywhere their man would go does not mean that quarterbacks were afraid to target these players, of course. Nor does it mean that they were able to erase all receivers from the stat sheet.

Conference does not matter for a RB, draft capital does. If a RB is not drafted day one or two, they are not worth drafting. Draft Rachaad White in dynasty, redraft, and bestball. Avoid Keaontay Ingram in redraft and draft Darrel Williams as James Connor’s backup.

In 2022, the Vikings are looking more competent than ever, and the curse on the Lions looks to be waning. It may take some time to adjust to this new-look NFC North, but don’t worry too much. Despite all the changes – the Bears are who we thought they were, and the division will not let them off the hook.

Welcome to the first edition of a monthly series where we take a deep dive into the AFC South. This time, we will take a look at each team’s moves this offseason as we near the pre-season. I will be going over every move made and provide some outlook for the 2022 season.

It is my honor to cover the best division in all the land. The AFC West is a land where shootouts flow like wine, and wins and losses will be as fleeting as a ship fading into the night. It’s going to be a bumpy ride with a lot of turbulence, and I’ll be your captain throughout the 2022 NFL season. Firstly, let’s take a look at what these teams managed to do in the offseason in an AFC West post-offseason review of all four teams.

What advantages do season long bets have? Let’s use a linear regression model to find out. My last article I wrote regarding win totals. Today, I will give everyone great insight into my model’s best values for picking future bets such as “Division Winners” and “To Make Playoffs.”

This edition will be an offseason review where we can rewind and get a snapshot of player acquisitions and players lost. Also, for fun, I have added a section of one or two UDFA players that we should keep an eye on to see if they can stick to the roster after the preseason. Without further ado, here is your Monthly NFC South Rundown!

Eagle-eyed regular visitors to PlayerProfiler would have noticed over the last few weeks that our player pages have begun to display a brand new metric. You can’t miss it because it’s in the first efficiency section. It’s called “Formation Adjusted Yards per Route Run.” Sounds exotic, and quite a mouthful, doesn’t it? But what exactly is it? It’s time to Meet the Metric.

The Saints are an interesting team on paper. Overall, their roster does include quite a few talented players. The purpose of this article is to see if there is a bet to be made on the win total for the New Orleans Saints. Will the Saints win more than eight games this season?

I built a regression model to help project and find edges in the world of football. The results were exceedingly profitable.